Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis – March 10, 2025
Chart Overview & Key Insights
This is a daily timeframe BTC/USDT chart on Bybit, showcasing a confluence of indicators including the BitcoinMF PRO signals, standard error bands (not Bollinger Bands!), Fibonacci levels, and support/resistance zones. Below, the Fisher Transform indicator is displayed for trend confirmation.
🔍 Current BTC Price Action & Key Observations
Price: $79,404 (-1.60%)
BitcoinMF PRO last short signal hit take profit (TP) → This often results in buy pressure as shorts take profits and exit, creating demand.
A new short signal is forming, but it’s in a riskier position:
Shorting too late into a move can be dangerous, as the market tends to reverse to hunt late shorts.
Price is already near key support zones (~$80,133 and lower at $73,240).
Linear Regression (LR) Channel: Price is currently testing the lower boundary, which often acts as support.
Volume Analysis: Increasing red bars show strong selling pressure, but potential buyer defense near key levels.
📉 Fibonacci & Support/Resistance Levels
🔻 Key Supports:
$80,133 (Short-term support)
$73,240 (Stronger support)
$65,485 (Major support)
🔺 Resistance Levels:
$86,163 (First target if price rebounds)
$92,957 (Major resistance)
🛠 Fisher Transform Indicator (Bottom Panel)
The Fisher Transform is deep in the oversold zone, which historically indicates a high probability of reversal.
If the blue line starts turning upward, it can indicate a bounce incoming.
Right now, Fisher is at extreme levels, meaning that while more downside is possible, a reversal could be forming soon.
📉 CME Gap Around $70K – What It Means
CME gaps occur when Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) close for the weekend and reopen at a different price.
A well-known market phenomenon is that Bitcoin tends to "fill" these gaps over time.
There is a gap in the $70K region, meaning Bitcoin may be magnetized toward that level before a major reversal.
🔍 How This Affects the Current Market?
Current BTC Price: $79,404
CME Gap Zone: $70,000–$72,000
Major Support Zones: $73,240, then $65,485
🛠 Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ BTC moves down toward $70K to fill the CME gap before bouncing.
This is a logical move, especially as Bitcoin is already in a downtrend.
Traders should be cautious of a liquidity grab below $73K.
2️⃣ If BTC doesn’t drop immediately, a short squeeze could come first.
Many late shorts have entered the market (as seen in open interest data).
A squeeze up to $86K–
92K could trap them before Bitcoin eventually moves down.
📊 CME Gap Probability in the Current Context
🔹 Likelihood of BTC filling the $70K CME gap: 8/10
🔹 Before that, BTC could see a bounce (short squeeze): 7/10
🧠 What’s the Next Most Probable Move?
📊 Probability Scale (1-10)
Next Move Probability: 7/10 for a bounce before further downside
📉 While BTC is in a downtrend, several factors indicate that shorting now is riskier than before:
Last BitcoinMF PRO short hit TP → Buy pressure from short profit-taking.
Extreme oversold Fisher Transform.
Price sitting near critical support ($80K zone).
🔹 Possible Scenario:
Short squeeze to $86K before any further drop.
If $86K gets rejected → A continued downtrend to
73K or lower.
📢 Conclusion & Trading Strategy
If you are short: Secure profits or set a tight stop-loss in case of a short squeeze.
If you are long: Look for signs of Fisher Transform turning up before entering.
Shorting here is riskier as the market may hunt late shorts before going lower.
⚡ Watch for a relief bounce! While more downside is possible, liquidity grabs often happen before continuation moves. Be strategic with stops and TP zones.
📜 Ancient Wisdom – Patience & Timing in Trading
There’s an old Jewish saying:
"Gam zu l'tovah" – "This too is for the best."
A great trader, much like a wise man, waits for the right moment instead of rushing into moves impulsively. If the market is preparing a short squeeze, traders who chase shorts too late may find themselves trapped. Timing is everything.
🔹 BitcoinMF PRO users caught this downtrend early – consider using it for future trades!
🚀 Get it on TradingView today! 🚀
Chart Overview & Key Insights
This is a daily timeframe BTC/USDT chart on Bybit, showcasing a confluence of indicators including the BitcoinMF PRO signals, standard error bands (not Bollinger Bands!), Fibonacci levels, and support/resistance zones. Below, the Fisher Transform indicator is displayed for trend confirmation.
🔍 Current BTC Price Action & Key Observations
Price: $79,404 (-1.60%)
BitcoinMF PRO last short signal hit take profit (TP) → This often results in buy pressure as shorts take profits and exit, creating demand.
A new short signal is forming, but it’s in a riskier position:
Shorting too late into a move can be dangerous, as the market tends to reverse to hunt late shorts.
Price is already near key support zones (~$80,133 and lower at $73,240).
Linear Regression (LR) Channel: Price is currently testing the lower boundary, which often acts as support.
Volume Analysis: Increasing red bars show strong selling pressure, but potential buyer defense near key levels.
📉 Fibonacci & Support/Resistance Levels
🔻 Key Supports:
$80,133 (Short-term support)
$73,240 (Stronger support)
$65,485 (Major support)
🔺 Resistance Levels:
$86,163 (First target if price rebounds)
$92,957 (Major resistance)
🛠 Fisher Transform Indicator (Bottom Panel)
The Fisher Transform is deep in the oversold zone, which historically indicates a high probability of reversal.
If the blue line starts turning upward, it can indicate a bounce incoming.
Right now, Fisher is at extreme levels, meaning that while more downside is possible, a reversal could be forming soon.
📉 CME Gap Around $70K – What It Means
CME gaps occur when Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) close for the weekend and reopen at a different price.
A well-known market phenomenon is that Bitcoin tends to "fill" these gaps over time.
There is a gap in the $70K region, meaning Bitcoin may be magnetized toward that level before a major reversal.
🔍 How This Affects the Current Market?
Current BTC Price: $79,404
CME Gap Zone: $70,000–$72,000
Major Support Zones: $73,240, then $65,485
🛠 Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ BTC moves down toward $70K to fill the CME gap before bouncing.
This is a logical move, especially as Bitcoin is already in a downtrend.
Traders should be cautious of a liquidity grab below $73K.
2️⃣ If BTC doesn’t drop immediately, a short squeeze could come first.
Many late shorts have entered the market (as seen in open interest data).
A squeeze up to $86K–
92K could trap them before Bitcoin eventually moves down.📊 CME Gap Probability in the Current Context
🔹 Likelihood of BTC filling the $70K CME gap: 8/10
🔹 Before that, BTC could see a bounce (short squeeze): 7/10
🧠 What’s the Next Most Probable Move?
📊 Probability Scale (1-10)
Next Move Probability: 7/10 for a bounce before further downside
📉 While BTC is in a downtrend, several factors indicate that shorting now is riskier than before:
Last BitcoinMF PRO short hit TP → Buy pressure from short profit-taking.
Extreme oversold Fisher Transform.
Price sitting near critical support ($80K zone).
🔹 Possible Scenario:
Short squeeze to $86K before any further drop.
If $86K gets rejected → A continued downtrend to
73K or lower.📢 Conclusion & Trading Strategy
If you are short: Secure profits or set a tight stop-loss in case of a short squeeze.
If you are long: Look for signs of Fisher Transform turning up before entering.
Shorting here is riskier as the market may hunt late shorts before going lower.
⚡ Watch for a relief bounce! While more downside is possible, liquidity grabs often happen before continuation moves. Be strategic with stops and TP zones.
📜 Ancient Wisdom – Patience & Timing in Trading
There’s an old Jewish saying:
"Gam zu l'tovah" – "This too is for the best."
A great trader, much like a wise man, waits for the right moment instead of rushing into moves impulsively. If the market is preparing a short squeeze, traders who chase shorts too late may find themselves trapped. Timing is everything.
🔹 BitcoinMF PRO users caught this downtrend early – consider using it for future trades!
🚀 Get it on TradingView today! 🚀
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.