Every pattern in trading is created by someone. Why not be the author of the pattern? If you see a succesfull price pattern, you can make a backtest and use it in your trading strategy. In this idea i`ll show you some BTC pattern which the crypto follow for 4-5 years.
This pattern is very simple. After the consolidation the price break the range and fell. After dumpo for 50-60% which is liquidated all margin long traders the price continue it`s rise for XXX%. The key thing is the consolidation for 5-12 months.
Consolidation is the price movement is the range. Price can consolidate not only inside the patterns as it shown on the chart (channel, triangle, etc.), but just inside the price range $10-12k, $18-22k etc.
How does consolidation happen? Consolidation in the price range appears because of the uncertainty of traders in which direction the price will go. When there is conditionally 50% of long traders and 50% of short traders in the market, the price can move only in a narrow range due to uncertainty.
What happens when price breaks through a consolidation? For an example of consolidation, let's imagine that price is a spring. The harder the spring is compressed, the more it bounces back. When the price breaks through the consolidation, it contracts like a "spring" and most often falls by 40-50%, as you can see on the chart.
After such a huge drop and the liquidation of all long traders, price bounces up. Since most long traders became fuel for the fall, now the short traders who wanted to make money on the fall become fuel for the growth. Now it`s the same!
Is the BTC reach the bottom and can start the growth? A lot of traders expect the DUMP to 12-14k and as we know everyone can`t earn, only prepared one.
What the price mark will be the bottom for BTC? Or BTC already there? Leave your thoughts on it in the comments!
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P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.