This TFW wave analysis in this scenario of a 5 wave expanding diagonal structure: w.1 - completed Dec 2017 w.2 - declined @ 78.6% of w.1 w.3 - an impulse 5 wave @ extension 361.8% of w.1. w.4 - also @ 78.6% of w.3 ABC structure (alt count 1-2-3-4-5) overlapped w.1 zone by 10%+/-. w.5 - currently preferable ABC or 123 structure with a complex w.B/2 wave correction @ 38.2% (B wave is often complex pattern) of w.A/1. The impulse move of the current wave c.3 now extended above fibonanci 261.8% of w.a and sustaining at above level 65K USD
The current price movement could be entering liquidity zone approaching the major upper trend/channel resistance and the next fibonanci wave C/3 target at 361.8% around 75-80K.
Supported Indicator: weekly RSI @ 90 the highest level with convergence value - a possible higher price with a bearish divergence confirm the next move for a trend signal for reversal/decline.
Bearish count scenario - daily price movement possible ABCDE triangle - minor 4-wave for a short-term correction resulted in a lower price of minor 4-wave.
Always affordable risk and respect your stop.
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Update bullish scenario in more detail TF4H a running triangle correction in 4-wave new target 85K zone as triangle target
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