Bitcoin has made a dramatic comeback, bouncing from $82,000 to over $86,000, after experiencing one of its sharpest declines in years. The move comes despite a $1 billion outflow from ETFs, with BlackRock alone offloading 4,200 BTC ($418M)—the largest single-day outflow recorded.
While some traders see this recovery as the start of a new bull run, others warn that it might be a classic bull trap, setting up for another sharp downturn. So, which is it?
The Case for a Bullish Reversal
📈 Demand Zone Approaching – Historically, major Bitcoin recoveries begin when traders’ realized losses hit -12%. Currently, it’s at -8.25%, suggesting BTC could be close to a bottoming phase.
📊 Strong Buying Interest – Bitcoin’s drop to
82K triggered a surge in demand, showing that bulls are still active.
🔼 If BTC reclaims $100K, it could confirm a full reversal.
The Bearish Case: A Repeat of 2021?
📉 RSI Warning Sign – BTC’s weekly RSI is making lower highs, while price action is making higher highs—a pattern that preceded the 2021 bear market crash from $69K to $16K.
📌 Overleveraged Positions on Both Sides – Large liquidations are set up above $90K and below $80K, suggesting high volatility ahead.
🔽 If BTC fails to reclaim $100K, history suggests it could drop another 50%.
So, What’s Next for Bitcoin?
The next few days are critical. If BTC holds above $86K and reclaims $90K+, we could see a sustained recovery into Q2. But if selling pressure returns, Bitcoin could enter another downward spiral, with high volatility expected before the end of the month.
Are the bulls in control, or is this just a temporary bounce before another sell-off?
While some traders see this recovery as the start of a new bull run, others warn that it might be a classic bull trap, setting up for another sharp downturn. So, which is it?
The Case for a Bullish Reversal
📈 Demand Zone Approaching – Historically, major Bitcoin recoveries begin when traders’ realized losses hit -12%. Currently, it’s at -8.25%, suggesting BTC could be close to a bottoming phase.
📊 Strong Buying Interest – Bitcoin’s drop to
82K triggered a surge in demand, showing that bulls are still active.🔼 If BTC reclaims $100K, it could confirm a full reversal.
The Bearish Case: A Repeat of 2021?
📉 RSI Warning Sign – BTC’s weekly RSI is making lower highs, while price action is making higher highs—a pattern that preceded the 2021 bear market crash from $69K to $16K.
📌 Overleveraged Positions on Both Sides – Large liquidations are set up above $90K and below $80K, suggesting high volatility ahead.
🔽 If BTC fails to reclaim $100K, history suggests it could drop another 50%.
So, What’s Next for Bitcoin?
The next few days are critical. If BTC holds above $86K and reclaims $90K+, we could see a sustained recovery into Q2. But if selling pressure returns, Bitcoin could enter another downward spiral, with high volatility expected before the end of the month.
Are the bulls in control, or is this just a temporary bounce before another sell-off?
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.