Hi all,
In my previous analysis, secondary test occurred way above selling climax which was bugging me, now with the 15 months long term uptrend has broken and price is leaning towards 30k, i believe secondary test will actually happen now.
So i've moved the secondary test event by 5 days. Note that this is the break of 15 months long uptrend, hence the secondary test took more than i expected.
Next, I expect a bounce, following a rally towards $40-45k next as per wyckoff events and step in to phase b of building a cause. There will be a secondary test in this phase, but it will be lower than the upcoming one in phase A according to wyckoff schematics.
I believe 30k will hold, but i can be wrong. Therefore, don't rush for a long trade now, or be very cautious as we are in a bearish trend now.
There's also a bearish flag formation here which suggests longer down trend towards 20k.
So, never fire all your bullets on one trade.
As always, stay safe.