Univers OF Signals | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #8
👋 Welcome to Univers OF Signals !
Let's delve into the Bitcoin analysis. Today is Monday, the start of the week, so let's check out the weekly and daily timeframes for Bitcoin to see what happened last week and how the weekly candle closed.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
The scenario I mentioned before still stands in the weekly timeframe. If the price stabilizes below 93,419, we can expect further corrections. The initial correction targets remain at 82,000 and then 71,000, which are still relevant.
🔍 On the other hand, if the ATH area, which is a resistance at 105,000 in the weekly timeframe, is broken, the price could start its next bullish leg. If this resistance breaks, I will update the analysis as usual and include Bitcoin’s next ATH targets.
📊 The market volume is still decreasing. The candles are also becoming smaller and smaller. As you can see, last week's candle hardly showed any fluctuation, indicating very minimal price range.
✨ That covers everything for the Bitcoin analysis in the weekly timeframe. Since the RSI hasn't activated any triggers yet, it's better to move on to the daily timeframe to see what has happened there over the past seven days.
📅 Daily Timeframe
The main supports and resistances in the daily timeframe are at 92,470 and 106,212, unchanged from last week.
🧩 However, the change is in the support at 96,312, which I mentioned last week could be a good area for the price to form a higher low and move towards the ceiling. This support has slightly shifted and is now at 95,601, which is still a significant support for the price. If supported at this level, and if it forms a higher low relative to 92,470, the price could move towards the ceiling of 106,200. In this case, if it can form a higher ceiling, the likelihood of breaking 106,212 will increase.
🔼 The early trigger for opening a long position that we discussed last week worked out well, and in the daily timeframe, if the price can stabilize above 98,061, we can expect it to form a higher low and move towards the main resistance at 106,212.
💥 The market volume, as I mentioned in previous analyses, has decreased significantly and has reached its minimal possible state. When the market volume decreases, the chart can move more easily. So, again, as I mentioned in the previous analysis, be ready behind the chart in these few days because movements after such low-volume ranges can be very volatile and can help you open profitable positions.
⚡️ Now that we've reviewed the weekly and daily timeframes, let's move on to lower timeframes and identify suitable futures triggers.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
We have an expanding triangle in the four-hour timeframe, and the price has been reacting well to it. Yesterday, it was rejected from the triangle's ceiling, which could have provided a good position. I will show you this position in the one-hour timeframe.
👀 The support at 95,108 remains very important, and I suggest that if the price reaches this area and you want to break it, have a short position ready. For long positions, I still believe that the triangle's trendline must be broken from above, and in that case, the triggers at 98,482 and 99,946 would be suitable.
🚀 The first target for these positions, as a scalp, is 101,819, and their main target is 105,928. The short position target could be the bottom of the triangle or the area at 92,702.
🔑 The market volume has increased slightly in this timeframe. As you see, and as I mentioned yesterday, after the volume reaches its minimum, the price will definitely make a move in one direction, which I will specify in the one-hour timeframe how we could have taken our position.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Let's move to the one-hour timeframe. First, I want to review the position the market gave us yesterday, and then we'll see what today's trigger will be.
🔄 About an hour after I published the analysis yesterday, the support at 97,110 broke, and with this break, we could have opened a short position that could still remain open, and I suggest you make it risk-free because, as I said yesterday, this position is very risky and the maximum target we can consider for it is 95,308.
📈 However, I personally would save the profit and not allow it to remain open any longer because it was opened as a scalp. The trigger for the long position at 97,816 was not reached and was not activated.
🔽 But today, I don't have a special trigger for a short position, and 95,108 is the only trigger that we were waiting for last week to be broken, but this did not happen. Here in the market volume, we can see in more detail that after breaking the 97,110 area, it increased significantly, and currently, with the price starting to range again, the market volume has decreased again.
✅ For long positions, first wait for the price to return above 97,110 and see which area it reacts to, and we can specify our next trigger tomorrow. But if the price comes up unidirectionally, you can open a short position with the breaking of 97,816 or 98,482.
🧲 Be careful because the price moved a bit yesterday, it might range today. So make sure you only open positions with triggers you are sure about, not risky triggers.
📅 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to Bitcoin dominance. We specified a very good resistance for Bitcoin dominance yesterday at 60.95, and as you see, Bitcoin dominance reacted very well to it, hitting this area several times with a shadow point and then dropping again, and it is now back to its support at 60.48, which is very important. If 60.48 breaks, the dominance could drop to 59.84, as mentioned in previous analyses, and in this case, if short positions are activated, their triggers within Bitcoin could allow us to open a very good short position on Bitcoin.
💣 But if at the same time as the activation of these triggers, the dominance increases and the resistance of 60.95 breaks, short positions on altcoins would be better than on Bitcoin.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let's move on to the Total2 analysis to see what suitable triggers will be for opening positions on altcoins.
🛎 The Total2 trigger was activated yesterday as you see at 1.24, which I said you could open a position with it riskily. However, as you see, the price has engulfed all the downward movements and returned up. However, I had said that this position was to be opened riskily and as a scalp, and if you opened a position with the trigger, quickly close your position.
📚 However, as you saw, Bitcoin still has a better bearish structure compared to Total2, and the reason is that Bitcoin dominance was bearish simultaneously with breaking the bearish areas, and if you had opened a position on Bitcoin, you would have made more profit, and now the position would still be open, but Total2 has returned all its upward movement and seems to want to form an upward structure. For now, I won’t change the 1.24 area and want to see what structure the price creates today and which ceiling it reacts to, and tomorrow I will change the location of this area for you.
📉 For short positions, you can open a position with the breaking of 1.23, but be aware, as you saw yesterday, altcoins did not drop much compared to Bitcoin, so if Bitcoin dominance is rising, you can open positions on altcoins. Otherwise, if the dominance is bearish, the short position you open on Bitcoin will give more profit.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Yesterday’s trigger for Tether dominance at 4.48 was activated, and Tether dominance had an upward move or leg, which was not very strong in terms of upward momentum and does not seem to be continuing.
💫 We can draw a trend line in this chart that the price has currently hit and seems to have been rejected. In this case, if the 4.48 area, which is now acting as support, is broken again, the price could drop to 4.24. Otherwise, if the price can break the downward trendline, we can expect Tether dominance to move up to 4.62.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Let's delve into the Bitcoin analysis. Today is Monday, the start of the week, so let's check out the weekly and daily timeframes for Bitcoin to see what happened last week and how the weekly candle closed.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
The scenario I mentioned before still stands in the weekly timeframe. If the price stabilizes below 93,419, we can expect further corrections. The initial correction targets remain at 82,000 and then 71,000, which are still relevant.
🔍 On the other hand, if the ATH area, which is a resistance at 105,000 in the weekly timeframe, is broken, the price could start its next bullish leg. If this resistance breaks, I will update the analysis as usual and include Bitcoin’s next ATH targets.
📊 The market volume is still decreasing. The candles are also becoming smaller and smaller. As you can see, last week's candle hardly showed any fluctuation, indicating very minimal price range.
✨ That covers everything for the Bitcoin analysis in the weekly timeframe. Since the RSI hasn't activated any triggers yet, it's better to move on to the daily timeframe to see what has happened there over the past seven days.
📅 Daily Timeframe
The main supports and resistances in the daily timeframe are at 92,470 and 106,212, unchanged from last week.
🧩 However, the change is in the support at 96,312, which I mentioned last week could be a good area for the price to form a higher low and move towards the ceiling. This support has slightly shifted and is now at 95,601, which is still a significant support for the price. If supported at this level, and if it forms a higher low relative to 92,470, the price could move towards the ceiling of 106,200. In this case, if it can form a higher ceiling, the likelihood of breaking 106,212 will increase.
🔼 The early trigger for opening a long position that we discussed last week worked out well, and in the daily timeframe, if the price can stabilize above 98,061, we can expect it to form a higher low and move towards the main resistance at 106,212.
💥 The market volume, as I mentioned in previous analyses, has decreased significantly and has reached its minimal possible state. When the market volume decreases, the chart can move more easily. So, again, as I mentioned in the previous analysis, be ready behind the chart in these few days because movements after such low-volume ranges can be very volatile and can help you open profitable positions.
⚡️ Now that we've reviewed the weekly and daily timeframes, let's move on to lower timeframes and identify suitable futures triggers.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
We have an expanding triangle in the four-hour timeframe, and the price has been reacting well to it. Yesterday, it was rejected from the triangle's ceiling, which could have provided a good position. I will show you this position in the one-hour timeframe.
👀 The support at 95,108 remains very important, and I suggest that if the price reaches this area and you want to break it, have a short position ready. For long positions, I still believe that the triangle's trendline must be broken from above, and in that case, the triggers at 98,482 and 99,946 would be suitable.
🚀 The first target for these positions, as a scalp, is 101,819, and their main target is 105,928. The short position target could be the bottom of the triangle or the area at 92,702.
🔑 The market volume has increased slightly in this timeframe. As you see, and as I mentioned yesterday, after the volume reaches its minimum, the price will definitely make a move in one direction, which I will specify in the one-hour timeframe how we could have taken our position.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Let's move to the one-hour timeframe. First, I want to review the position the market gave us yesterday, and then we'll see what today's trigger will be.
🔄 About an hour after I published the analysis yesterday, the support at 97,110 broke, and with this break, we could have opened a short position that could still remain open, and I suggest you make it risk-free because, as I said yesterday, this position is very risky and the maximum target we can consider for it is 95,308.
📈 However, I personally would save the profit and not allow it to remain open any longer because it was opened as a scalp. The trigger for the long position at 97,816 was not reached and was not activated.
🔽 But today, I don't have a special trigger for a short position, and 95,108 is the only trigger that we were waiting for last week to be broken, but this did not happen. Here in the market volume, we can see in more detail that after breaking the 97,110 area, it increased significantly, and currently, with the price starting to range again, the market volume has decreased again.
✅ For long positions, first wait for the price to return above 97,110 and see which area it reacts to, and we can specify our next trigger tomorrow. But if the price comes up unidirectionally, you can open a short position with the breaking of 97,816 or 98,482.
🧲 Be careful because the price moved a bit yesterday, it might range today. So make sure you only open positions with triggers you are sure about, not risky triggers.
📅 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to Bitcoin dominance. We specified a very good resistance for Bitcoin dominance yesterday at 60.95, and as you see, Bitcoin dominance reacted very well to it, hitting this area several times with a shadow point and then dropping again, and it is now back to its support at 60.48, which is very important. If 60.48 breaks, the dominance could drop to 59.84, as mentioned in previous analyses, and in this case, if short positions are activated, their triggers within Bitcoin could allow us to open a very good short position on Bitcoin.
💣 But if at the same time as the activation of these triggers, the dominance increases and the resistance of 60.95 breaks, short positions on altcoins would be better than on Bitcoin.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let's move on to the Total2 analysis to see what suitable triggers will be for opening positions on altcoins.
🛎 The Total2 trigger was activated yesterday as you see at 1.24, which I said you could open a position with it riskily. However, as you see, the price has engulfed all the downward movements and returned up. However, I had said that this position was to be opened riskily and as a scalp, and if you opened a position with the trigger, quickly close your position.
📚 However, as you saw, Bitcoin still has a better bearish structure compared to Total2, and the reason is that Bitcoin dominance was bearish simultaneously with breaking the bearish areas, and if you had opened a position on Bitcoin, you would have made more profit, and now the position would still be open, but Total2 has returned all its upward movement and seems to want to form an upward structure. For now, I won’t change the 1.24 area and want to see what structure the price creates today and which ceiling it reacts to, and tomorrow I will change the location of this area for you.
📉 For short positions, you can open a position with the breaking of 1.23, but be aware, as you saw yesterday, altcoins did not drop much compared to Bitcoin, so if Bitcoin dominance is rising, you can open positions on altcoins. Otherwise, if the dominance is bearish, the short position you open on Bitcoin will give more profit.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Yesterday’s trigger for Tether dominance at 4.48 was activated, and Tether dominance had an upward move or leg, which was not very strong in terms of upward momentum and does not seem to be continuing.
💫 We can draw a trend line in this chart that the price has currently hit and seems to have been rejected. In this case, if the 4.48 area, which is now acting as support, is broken again, the price could drop to 4.24. Otherwise, if the price can break the downward trendline, we can expect Tether dominance to move up to 4.62.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.