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BTC Breakout or Bull Trap? Key Confirmation Levels Ahead

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If you're leaning bullish, it's more prudent to wait for a confirmed breakout above 88,000, followed by a weekly close above the 86,000 level. Ideally, a successful retest should hold within the 85,000–86,000 range to validate the breakout structure. Any failure to hold this zone on the retest would likely signal a fake out which, given current price action and resistance pressure, remains a high-probability scenario in my view.

Bitcoin faced a sharp decline to the 75,000 level following the announcement of tariffs, which triggered panic and heightened uncertainty across the crypto market. Currently, BTC is attempting to reclaim the key 85,000 resistance zone. However, a descending trendline is capping upward momentum, adding to the difficulty of a clean breakout. A decisive weekly close above 86,000 could invalidate the bearish setup and open the door for bullish continuation till 100-108K. Conversely, failure to break and close above this level would likely lead to a swift drop toward the 71,000 support zone, with minimal structural support in between.

A weekly close below the 85,000 level would confirm bearish continuation, opening the door for a retest of the 72,000 support zone — a key structural level that previously acted as a demand area. Failure to hold above 72,000 could invalidate the current range and trigger a deeper correction toward the prior macro support around 55,000. Based on current momentum and price structure, a move toward the 55,000 region appears increasingly probable in the near term.

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