Bitcoin / TetherUS
Long
Updated

DeGRAM | BTCUSD held the $100k level

424
📊 Technical Analysis
● Bounce from 99.8-100 k confluence (violet trend-line + former wedge top + horizontal demand) confirms the zone as fresh support.
● Price coils in a tight pennant under 106 k; 1.618 target of the pattern meets the rising-channel roof and red supply at 111-112 k, while RSI prints higher lows, flagging hidden bullish momentum.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● CME futures basis widened above 10 % annualised as softer US claims cooled dollar bids, boosting carry appetite; meanwhile, on-chain reserves keep shrinking, hinting at supply squeeze.

Summary
Buy 100-103 k; pennant break >106 k aims 111 k → 115 k. Bull view void on an H16 close below 99 k.

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Trade active
snapshot
📊 Technical Analysis
● Price punched back above the green 104 k–105 k shelf and closed a 4 h candle over the short-term falling trend-line from May’s high, locking a fresh higher-low on the violet trend-support.
● Hidden-bullish RSI divergence accompanies a tightening bull flag whose 1.618 projection and channel mid-rail converge at 109-110 k, just under the red supply.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● CoinShares reports a second straight week of spot-ETF inflows (+US$475 m) while exchange reserves fall to a 4-yr low; tighter float meets softer US yields after jobless claims hit a 10-month high, reducing dollar carry appeal.

Summary
Buy 104-105 k pull-backs; flag break >106 k targets 109 k then 112 k. Long bias void on a 4 h close below 99 k.

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Trade closed: target reached
Bitcoin reached its target, broke the trendline and today we will look at its further movement.

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