2025.05.30 BITCOIN LONG

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At present, the 1.902 Crab pattern has been clearly completed on the chart, and it is therefore a point where entering a long position can be considered. This pattern suggests a strong rebound potential within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), and particularly, the fact that point D in the X-A-B-C-D structure precisely aligns with the 1.902 Fibonacci ratio increases its reliability. This serves as an important signal that indicates the possibility of buying pressure inflow in an oversold zone.

Assuming the validity of this Crab pattern, three major take-profit targets can be established based on Fibonacci extension and Elliott Wave counting.

First Target: 106611

This zone overlaps with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous downward wave, and if a short-term rebound occurs, it is likely to act as the first resistance. It is a price level where partial profit-taking can be considered for the sake of avoiding quick stop-outs and for risk management.

Second Target: 107123

The second target corresponds to the average retracement level that the Crab pattern typically reaches. It also converges with the previous high, where relatively strong selling pressure may appear. Therefore, a strategy of taking profits on approximately 50–70% of the position is valid.

Third Target: 107600

The final target can be seen as the maximum expected zone of an extended rebound from a structural standpoint. This area may coincide with a momentum zone formed upon breaking the previous high. However, as this is a zone where strong selling pressure can occur, close monitoring and the application of a trailing stop are recommended.

In addition to technical analysis, it is important to confirm the validity of the entry by examining candlestick patterns and volume trends. Especially, the appearance of strong reversal candlesticks and rising volume at point D can further enhance the credibility of the buy signal.

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