Hey fam, this TA is important, so please pay a close attention and in the end, let me about your ideas in the comment section.
What do we see in the chart❓
There are two strong bearish movements both took 11 weeks and also there is a 9 weeks upward retracement in the between.
The price is now in the 4th wave of the main bearish movement and it is a retracement. I expect it too take 9 weeks from the beginning as well. It reaches us to the conclusion that 15 mid August is an important date for Bitcoin and our analysis, you can see it as a purple line on the chart.
I personally expect two scenarios for this 4th wave (retracement):
1️⃣ Scenario 1:
The red line on the chart. The price will make an upward movement to the gray and yellow resistance and near our light blue trend-line, just like our previous retracement spoken above. I expect it to see this high peak around mid August as our important time pivot. Because of a bearish flag it can leads the price to our final bearish (5th) wave to the red and yellow support area around $12,000 - $14,000. That point will be be dip of Bitcoin in my view and I expect some consolidation before rise, but I will buy in that dip. NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE!
2️⃣ Scenario 2:
The green line on the chart. The price will make a slow downward movement to our red support (Around our purple time pivot). This will be a very bullish sign for me, because it shows that the bears are getting weaker. I personally open long positions with leverage in the dip if this scenario happens. Again, NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE!
I'll have expect a smaller consolidation before rise in comparison to Scenario 1.
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