Univers Of Signals| Bitcoin Daily Analysis #10

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👋 Welcome to Univers Of Signals !
Let's analyze Bitcoin and key crypto indices, focusing on the suitable futures triggers for today's New York session. Yesterday, we could have opened both short and long positions, which would have been profitable.

⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Before starting today's analysis, let's review the triggers from yesterday and see which ones were activated. The 95108 trigger, which we've been waiting for a break, was finally breached yesterday, and I personally took a position in a shorter timeframe, achieving a risk to reward ratio of 3. However, the hourly timeframe didn't provide a very accurate position, and if you hadn't moved to a shorter timeframe, you probably would have missed this move.

📣 I've also adjusted the lower line of the Expanding Triangle because, as you see, yesterday's downward movement continued down to 93899, and with the new line I drew, this area coincides with the bottom of the triangle, and overlapping these two areas, the price has moved upwards, effectively invalidating the entire downward move.

🔍 But the point is that with this change, we can say the Expanding Triangle no longer exists, and the price is more moving in a descending channel. I tried to draw the channel using the parallel channel tool, but it didn't turn out well, so the two trend lines I've drawn now seem to be the best possible arrangement.

🔄 This morning, if you were following along and looking to open a long position, you could have done so with a fake breakout and pullback to this area, which would have also yielded a good profit if opened in shorter timeframes.

🧩 As for today's triggers, we have 96382 for long positions, which the price is very close to, and it's possible that by the time I publish this analysis, this trigger might have been broken. If this trigger has been broken at the time of publishing this analysis, the next triggers will be 97816 and 98482.

🔽 For short positions, the 95108 area still seems appropriate to me. The price has pulled back to this area this morning, and if it returns to this area again, it could be a good trigger for a short position. On the other hand, the RSI has also crossed the 55.79 area, which could be a good confirmation for a long position, and we currently have RSI confirmation for upward momentum.

💥 If the RSI can activate its triggers, we can make the most of the upward momentum that has entered the market. The reason I'm using the RSI today, unlike previous days, is that a strong downward momentum entered yesterday, causing the price to fall to 93899.

⚡️ Now, upward momentum has entered, reversing this downward movement and returning above the 95108 support. This means the market's momentum has reversed, and the long momentum trigger has also been activated.

📅 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin's dominance reacted very well to the areas we identified yesterday and has formed a range box between 61.10 and 61.49. Currently, dominance is at the bottom of the box, and if it breaks 61.10 along with activating the long trigger, opening a long position on altcoins will be better than on Bitcoin. For long positions on altcoins in Total2, I will specify the triggers you can use.

✅ However, if at the same time the long trigger is activated, the 61.49 area is also broken, Bitcoin itself will be better for longs than altcoins. If the market turns short and Bitcoin dominance falls, Bitcoin itself will perform better than altcoins, and the downward target for Bitcoin dominance remains 60.48, while if 61.49 is broken, the upward target will be 62%.
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📅 Total2 Analysis
Let's look at the Total2 analysis. Yesterday, the short trigger for Total2 was activated, and since Bitcoin dominance was also increasing simultaneously with this drop, a short position on altcoins would have offered better returns. For example, the coin GRT would have given a better entry than Bitcoin.

🔑 But today, the trigger we have for Total2 for longs was 1.21, which has already been breached, and the price has closed above this area. However, if you want to hold a long position on altcoins, if the price pulls back to this area, you can open a long position.

🔼 I recommend that if Bitcoin dominance increases, ignore Total2 and open a long position on Bitcoin. But if dominance starts to fall, try to open a long position on altcoins during a pullback or whatever other setup you know to open positions.

✨ For short positions, the 1.19 area is still very suitable, and like Bitcoin, Total2 has also pulled back to this area, showing it is still important and valid.

👀 Note that as long as Total2 is between the 1.1 to 1.28 box, all positions you open in the market are considered risky, and you should quickly secure profits and focus on low risk-to-reward ratios like two or three. Don't leave positions open hoping for higher risk-to-reward ratios, as this could cause you to lose the profits you have.
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📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let's move on to the USDT.D analysis. This index broke the 4.62 area we had marked as a target, but it was a fakeout, and now it seems downward momentum has entered. The trigger for this index was 4.55, like Total2, this trigger has been activated, and the next trigger I see now is 4.46.

💫Again, if you get a suitable confirmation from Bitcoin dominance, try to have long positions on altcoins in the pullback of Total2 and USDT.D to the areas they've broken. If Total2 starts to fall and USDT.D breaks the 4.62 area, it's a very good trigger for short positions, and depending on Bitcoin's dominance, you can choose the appropriate coin to open positions on.
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❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.

Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.