we are still in the channel that formed on December 22. We hit the bottom this morning, but it formed resistance. We will probably retest it soon based on the 4H and Daily charts showing the longer term downward trend. Once we break the channel resistance, watch for huge dumps and an explosion downward.
Alternatively we may remain in the channel for a period of time and if we don't go lower than the channel and the Stoch RSI starts its upswing on the daily chart then I say we are going bullish and 12800 is the bottom of the lows.
For now I am staying out of the market and remaining in cash till I am certain which way this is heading