Check support near 104984.57

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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
snapshot
OBV indicator is showing signs of rising above High Line.

Therefore, the candle body color has changed to dark green (#00332a).

Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported near StochRSI 80 (104984.57) and rise above 10613.74.

If it falls,
1st: 104463.99
2nd: 102302.08
You should check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.

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If it is supported near 104984.57, it is likely to rise, but since the volatility period continues until May 20 (up to May 28), it is recommended to check whether it is supported.

Therefore, the point of observation is whether the price can be maintained above 102302.08 even after the volatility period.

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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.

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- ​​Explanation of the big picture.

I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.

I rewrote it to update the previous chart by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).

(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
snapshot
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.

In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.

Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.

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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
snapshot
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).

It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).

(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
snapshot
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.

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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.

The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.

In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.

Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).

Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.

In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).

snapshot
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.

Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).

I will explain more details when the bear market starts.

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Note
StochRSI indicator has not been approved yet, so I hid it when publishing.
Note
#BTCUSDT
snapshot
The volatility period ended on May 20, but there is a possibility of volatility occurring again around May 23 and May 27.

Therefore, caution is required when trading until May 28.

snapshot
If it rises above 109588.0 and renews the ATH, it is possible that it will rise to around the Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43).

However, if the current StochRSI indicator enters the overbought zone, the rise may be limited.

Therefore, we need to see if the price can be maintained above 102302.08 after May 28.

The 102302.08 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1D chart.

If the OBV indicator falls below the High Line, it may lead to an additional decline, so we need to think about a countermeasure for this.

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