Bitcoin Daily Analysis #5
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Let's dive into today's analysis of Bitcoin. Since yesterday, there haven't been significant changes in the market, and none of our triggers were activated. However, let's explore the upcoming scenarios and identify any new triggers.
⏳ Hourly Time Frame
1-Hour Timeframe As you can see, Bitcoin is currently forming an expanding triangle, which typically doesn't respect resistances or supports very well, making it tricky to take long-term positions while the price remains within this pattern.
🔼 For a long position, the trigger remains above 98,482. Keep an eye out for this break because, as you can see, the trading volume has decreased, suggesting that a sharp price movement is likely imminent. Financial markets exist for speculation, not stagnation, so a decrease in volume usually precedes a significant price move—either upwards or downwards.
📊 Should this long trigger activate, it would be safe to hold a position expecting the price might retest the resistance at 106,000, giving us comfort in pursuing other potential coin positions.
📉 The short position has a significant level at 95,108, now more critical than the 92,702 level. If broken, Bitcoin could start its next bearish leg, with the first target at 92,702 and, upon breaking this, potentially moving towards the lower ranges around 80,000 to 82,000.
🔑 Today, I'm not focusing on the RSI due to the market's range-bound state, making it unreliable for confirming momentum. Thus, I've excluded RSI from both today's and yesterday's analyses.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
BTC.D Analysis As predicted, the dominance fell, confirming yesterday's analysis. After retesting the 61.10 level and following the trendline curve, the next leg down began, targeting the 59.84 area. This movement will help us understand the upcoming market direction based on how the dominance behaves at this level.
👀 If it proves to be a fake-out and the dominance breaks the curve again, retaking the 61.10 trigger, we might see a resurgence in Bitcoin's dominance, suggesting a bullish scenario is less likely.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 Analysis As observed, the Total2 level that was previously active at 1.24 is currently retesting this area. It hasn't fully stabilized above this level, so let's wait for confirmation that this resistance has been broken. If so, we can expect a move towards at least 1.28.
✅ This break of 1.24 was an initial scalp trigger, with the main long-term trigger at 1.28. If breached, it could validate a bullish long-term position on altcoins, given the concurrent fall in Bitcoin's dominance, suggesting a preferable situation for altcoins compared to Bitcoin.
📉 In the event of market downturns, Bitcoin positions are generally more favorable if Bitcoin's dominance continues to fall. However, if considering short positions on altcoins, wait for Total2 to potentially fake this breakout and, if it reverses, enter upon breaking the 1.19 level. If you're a risk-taker, you could initiate earlier at the break of 1.19.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT.D Analysis In the USDT.D index, nothing significant has changed, and for market long confirmations, the 4.44 break remains crucial. Conversely, for short positions during a market downturn, a break of 4.62 would confirm an increase in Tether's dominance.
⚡️ Note that the 4.44 trigger is risky, and a break of 4.24 is the principal confirmation of a trend change in USDT.D.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Let's dive into today's analysis of Bitcoin. Since yesterday, there haven't been significant changes in the market, and none of our triggers were activated. However, let's explore the upcoming scenarios and identify any new triggers.
⏳ Hourly Time Frame
1-Hour Timeframe As you can see, Bitcoin is currently forming an expanding triangle, which typically doesn't respect resistances or supports very well, making it tricky to take long-term positions while the price remains within this pattern.
🔼 For a long position, the trigger remains above 98,482. Keep an eye out for this break because, as you can see, the trading volume has decreased, suggesting that a sharp price movement is likely imminent. Financial markets exist for speculation, not stagnation, so a decrease in volume usually precedes a significant price move—either upwards or downwards.
📊 Should this long trigger activate, it would be safe to hold a position expecting the price might retest the resistance at 106,000, giving us comfort in pursuing other potential coin positions.
📉 The short position has a significant level at 95,108, now more critical than the 92,702 level. If broken, Bitcoin could start its next bearish leg, with the first target at 92,702 and, upon breaking this, potentially moving towards the lower ranges around 80,000 to 82,000.
🔑 Today, I'm not focusing on the RSI due to the market's range-bound state, making it unreliable for confirming momentum. Thus, I've excluded RSI from both today's and yesterday's analyses.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
BTC.D Analysis As predicted, the dominance fell, confirming yesterday's analysis. After retesting the 61.10 level and following the trendline curve, the next leg down began, targeting the 59.84 area. This movement will help us understand the upcoming market direction based on how the dominance behaves at this level.
👀 If it proves to be a fake-out and the dominance breaks the curve again, retaking the 61.10 trigger, we might see a resurgence in Bitcoin's dominance, suggesting a bullish scenario is less likely.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 Analysis As observed, the Total2 level that was previously active at 1.24 is currently retesting this area. It hasn't fully stabilized above this level, so let's wait for confirmation that this resistance has been broken. If so, we can expect a move towards at least 1.28.
✅ This break of 1.24 was an initial scalp trigger, with the main long-term trigger at 1.28. If breached, it could validate a bullish long-term position on altcoins, given the concurrent fall in Bitcoin's dominance, suggesting a preferable situation for altcoins compared to Bitcoin.
📉 In the event of market downturns, Bitcoin positions are generally more favorable if Bitcoin's dominance continues to fall. However, if considering short positions on altcoins, wait for Total2 to potentially fake this breakout and, if it reverses, enter upon breaking the 1.19 level. If you're a risk-taker, you could initiate earlier at the break of 1.19.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT.D Analysis In the USDT.D index, nothing significant has changed, and for market long confirmations, the 4.44 break remains crucial. Conversely, for short positions during a market downturn, a break of 4.62 would confirm an increase in Tether's dominance.
⚡️ Note that the 4.44 trigger is risky, and a break of 4.24 is the principal confirmation of a trend change in USDT.D.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.