Here’s a sell-side analysis for CAD/JPY on the 2H chart based on your updated screenshot:
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Pair: CAD/JPY
Timeframe: 2H
Current Price: ~104.656
Market Bias: Short-term bearish shift from previous bullish trend
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Sell Analysis Overview:
1. Bearish Structure Forming Below 105.300–105.600
• Price recently broke below a major support zone (~105.300–105.600), which is now turning into a resistance zone.
• This rejection aligns with the concept of structure flipping — previous support now acting as resistance.
• The marked “Sell Structure Forming Below” zone highlights this key area for short positions on pullbacks.
2. Multiple Rejections at 105.866
• There are clear lower highs forming, with repeated rejections around 105.866 (circled).
• Each attempt to push higher has failed, showing strong bearish pressure and exhaustion from buyers.
3. Breakdown of Key Moving Averages
• Price has closed below both the 50 EMA and 100 EMA, which are beginning to curl downward — a common signal of a trend reversal.
• Momentum has shifted, and sellers are currently in control.
4. Liquidity Grab + Breakdown
• After a false breakout to the upside, price grabbed liquidity around 105.866 and quickly reversed.
• This aligns with smart money behavior: sweeping highs before dropping — a classic bearish trap.
5. Short-Term Target Zone
• The current bearish move has a clear downside target in the 103.600–103.800 zone, which is marked as an “Area of Liquidity”.
• If this zone breaks cleanly, extended targets sit around 101.800–101.400, where fresh demand and buy structure are likely to form.
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Sell Plan & Risk Management:
• Entry Idea: Wait for a pullback into the 105.300–105.600 zone to look for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection wick).
• Stop Loss: Above 105.866 (invalidates structure)
• Take Profit Levels:
• TP1: 103.600 (liquidity zone)
• TP2: 101.800 (demand zone)
• TP3: 101.400 (long-term structure support)
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Final Thoughts:
CAD/JPY is now showing early signs of a bearish trend reversal after a clean breakdown of structure and liquidity sweep at highs. As long as the price remains below 105.600, the bias remains bearish. A bounce from 104.500 could temporarily delay the drop, but deeper downside is likely if that level gives way.
⸻
Pair: CAD/JPY
Timeframe: 2H
Current Price: ~104.656
Market Bias: Short-term bearish shift from previous bullish trend
⸻
Sell Analysis Overview:
1. Bearish Structure Forming Below 105.300–105.600
• Price recently broke below a major support zone (~105.300–105.600), which is now turning into a resistance zone.
• This rejection aligns with the concept of structure flipping — previous support now acting as resistance.
• The marked “Sell Structure Forming Below” zone highlights this key area for short positions on pullbacks.
2. Multiple Rejections at 105.866
• There are clear lower highs forming, with repeated rejections around 105.866 (circled).
• Each attempt to push higher has failed, showing strong bearish pressure and exhaustion from buyers.
3. Breakdown of Key Moving Averages
• Price has closed below both the 50 EMA and 100 EMA, which are beginning to curl downward — a common signal of a trend reversal.
• Momentum has shifted, and sellers are currently in control.
4. Liquidity Grab + Breakdown
• After a false breakout to the upside, price grabbed liquidity around 105.866 and quickly reversed.
• This aligns with smart money behavior: sweeping highs before dropping — a classic bearish trap.
5. Short-Term Target Zone
• The current bearish move has a clear downside target in the 103.600–103.800 zone, which is marked as an “Area of Liquidity”.
• If this zone breaks cleanly, extended targets sit around 101.800–101.400, where fresh demand and buy structure are likely to form.
⸻
Sell Plan & Risk Management:
• Entry Idea: Wait for a pullback into the 105.300–105.600 zone to look for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection wick).
• Stop Loss: Above 105.866 (invalidates structure)
• Take Profit Levels:
• TP1: 103.600 (liquidity zone)
• TP2: 101.800 (demand zone)
• TP3: 101.400 (long-term structure support)
⸻
Final Thoughts:
CAD/JPY is now showing early signs of a bearish trend reversal after a clean breakdown of structure and liquidity sweep at highs. As long as the price remains below 105.600, the bias remains bearish. A bounce from 104.500 could temporarily delay the drop, but deeper downside is likely if that level gives way.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Telegram Trading Channel - t.me/DBFXTraderChannel
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.