Crude Oil Analysis near resistance area

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As the market continues to react to various economic indicators and geopolitical developments, Crude Oil prices are currently at a pivotal point.
Below are two potential scenarios based on the current market conditions.

Current Analysis: Crude Oil is currently facing a critical resistance zone between $71.5 and $72.8. Based on the price action and market sentiment, I foresee two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1: Bearish Reversal

Resistance Strength: The resistance at $71.5 and $72.8 is strong.
Expected Movement: If the price fails to break through this resistance, I anticipate a rebound, leading to a decline towards the $68-$69 area.
Action Plan:
Entry Signal: Monitor for bearish price action signals, such as a Shooting Star or a Bearish Engulfing Pattern, indicating a potential reversal.
Entry Point: Enter a short position upon confirmation of the bearish signal.
Target: Set a target at the $68-$69 range.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at $72.8 to manage risk effectively.

Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout

Resistance Strength: The resistance at $71.5 and $72.8 is weak.
Expected Movement: If the price successfully breaks above this resistance, I expect it to rally towards the $77-$77.5 area.
Action Plan:
Entry Signal: Wait for a confirmed close above $72.8, ideally accompanied by a strong bullish candle (preferably a long green candle) to validate the breakout.
Entry Point: Enter a long position upon confirmation of the breakout.
Target: Set a target in the $78-$79 range.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at $71.5 to protect against potential reversals.

Summary

The key levels to watch are $71.5 and $72.8 for potential reversals or breakouts. I will wait for confirmation through price action signals befare takeing a decision.

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