$CMG is headed to $40 - $35 because of trade tariff with Mexico
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Chipotle’s all about those fresh ingredients—avocados, tomatoes, you name it—and a ton of that stuff comes straight from Mexico. Now, throw in some hefty tariffs, like the 25% ones Trump was pushing earlier in 2025, and suddenly those ingredients aren’t so cheap anymore. If those tariffs stick, Chipotle’s got a tough choice: swallow the higher costs and watch their profits shrink, or hike up burrito prices and risk losing customers. Either way, it’s a gut punch to their bottom line.
And the stock? It’s already feeling the heat. CMG’s sitting at $50.49 right now, down a brutal 12.65% in just the past month. Traders on X are screaming it could slide to $43 - $38, and that’s before the tariffs even fully hit. With a bearish flag waving on the chart, the vibe’s getting grim. If tariffs crank up costs and scare off diners, that $40 - $35 range starts looking less like a stretch and more like a real possibility.
Sure, it’s not a lock—tariffs could still fizzle out with negotiations, and Chipotle might dodge some of the damage by switching suppliers. But right now, the threat’s real, and the market’s jittery. That’s why TradingView’s lit up with this call: tariffs could be the shove that sends CMG tumbling. Keep your eyes peeled—this one’s got some serious sizzle!
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.