Long

Fear Indicator Germand Bunds

Updated

The Spread between German Government Bonds 10 YR Yields and France 10 YR Yields actually as high as in the Euro Crisis 2012.

To Yield-Spreads showing ongoing bets against Europe.

If ever the far right or far left parties might not succed all those bets needs to be covered.

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APR 12 2017 - This aren´t peanuts. This are multi billion Euro or Dollar bets aganist Europe based on fears and probably not precise research about the upcomming France election. The main argument is that "polls had been wrong" before the Brexit and the US-Election.

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APR 13 2017 German Bunds Yield crashing today up to 25% but recover end of day.

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APR 13 2017: It's now on the news, and Traders need to deal with it:
investing.com/news/economic-indicators/hard-left,-hard-right,-or-center -french-economy-may-decide-474171

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APR 14 2017: French presidential race tightens further as vote looms
Source: reuters.com/article/us-france-election-idUSKBN17G0Q2

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APR 17 2017 - China has more options to press North Korea than people think, says former CIA China analyst
China has more options to press North Korea than people think, says former CIA China analyst

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APR 17 2017 - Brazil's economy grew at its fastest pace since 2010 and its stocks are flying high
cnbc.com/2017/04/17/brazils-economy-grew-at-fastest-pace-since-2010-its-stocks-are-flying.html

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APR 18 2017 Europe's 'fear gauge' is rising ahead of first presidential vote in France this weekend
cnbc.com/2017/04/18/frances-borrowing-costs-are-under-pressure-as-political-uncertainty-rises-ahead-of-first-presidential-vote.html

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APR 18 2017 Spread German Bunds - IT 10Y Bonds shrinking even rising fears

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APR 18 2017: End of day sell off showing mounting fears in Europe on April 18th 2017.
Intraday:

Daily:

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APR 18 2017 - Rebound after sell off at close of Markets. Technically indicating at least a near term bottom.

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APR 18 2017: Euro up - unexpectedly

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APR 19 2017 - Bund Yields rising ahead of France Election first time since allmost 2 weeks. Rising Yields today might confirm yesterdays reversal after late day sell off.

LePen only 2% ahead of Fillon. Odds rising that LePen might become 3rd on next Sunday.
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_French_presidential_election,_2017

Note

APR 20 2017: It´s now headline on bloomberg.com
French Election Shocker: Pollsters Baffled by Four-Way Race
Sorce: bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-04-19/french-election-shocker-pollsters-baffled-by-four-way-contest

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APR 24 2017: Wall Street surges, Nasdaq hits record on French vote result
investing.com/news/stock-market-news/futures-rally-as-french-worries-ease

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Le Pen, Macron spar as French presidential race narrows slightly
investing.com/news/world-news/macron-campaign-for-french-presidency-off-to-slower-start-than-le-pen:-poll-477875

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Polls suggest parliamentary majority within reach for France's Macron
reuters.com/article/us-france-election-idUSKCN18E07E

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German Bunds: Bond Yields rising after geopolitical fears fading.

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EURO is also up after "rise of populism trades" failed:

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EURUSD:

EURO / European Stockmarkets: Reverse of Capital Flows Likely

Please click on the chart to load new bars and read comments.

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Bund Yields Rising: German Bunds showing that geopolitical risks are fading.

Markets focus now on rising rates and Central Bank monetary policy.

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Strong economic data and fading geopolitical risk pushing Bund yields higher.

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