This idea works off of bearish gold. Gold had a nice bull run, but it looked like a strong correction. If you look at the gold chart you can draw a reversed "J" in the price action. That should be a continuation pattern of the prior bear trend. All this should take miners bearish. To me, I feel this move down will be deeper than the 1st bearish move. I've seen most gold targets lately near 1150ish per oz.
Stop near $28.50 as this should be a strong move not falling back on it's self. Gold moving bullish breaks this idea.