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The DXY technical indicates a possible uptrend, which could be confirmed by the data release at 14:30 (BudapestTime) Our expectation is that the data will be positive for the US dollar since yesterday’s ADP Non-Farm Payroll report came in strong, serving as a significant indicator.
If the data aligns with our logic, we anticipate an additional 0.40% appreciation of the US dollar against the euro.
It is important to mention that we are currently at a critical inflection point, as the market is ranging, clearly signaling that major players are waiting for the data before a potential breakout occurs.
As we approach the weekend, I believe more market participants will position themselves cautiously, seeking safety in the US dollar. If this happens, and the US government hints at or imposes tariffs on the European Union, it could further drive dollar strength over the weekend.