2025/01/23
Another 48h - Hardly Price Action Moves In DXY In First 9 Hours
“i can hardly remember when dxy moved so so little intraday!
because of trump? fear or tarrifs? fear of a snake bite? of bears”
The US leading index
SP500 reached a new all-time high intraday yesterday - and the mood of traders and/or investors rose sharply compared to the previous week as rarely in recent decades. I too have gotten back on the bandwagon - namely that the United States GDP Annual Growth Rate is growing faster than United States Inflation Rate - even that US Americans will grow out of US stagflation in 2025. While the mood on WallStreet was very bearish after the Santa Claus rally failed to materialize and short positioning was high, this rapid change in sentiment means that the air is now becoming significantly thinner for the SP500 . Why? Because of Trump and his threat of tariffs! "But he seems to be just showing off at the moment - and then it won't be as hot as it's cooked!" my friend, one cfd online broker analyst, told me yesterday. “Therefore, a correction is now likely - only after this correction could the bulls make another attempt?” Which I disagree with regarding WallStreet - in the case of selecting individual stocks that are not directly affected (even in the case of tariffs). I fear much more that the 
DXY and/or the US Yield Curve $TVC:US1Y will then rise even further - which would basically be good for US taxpayers and/or US consumers - but only if you can produce, sell, and consume US-made products (which are better and cheaper than the tariffed imports).! That's it - everything else are duck tales. Just news, information that undoubtedly needs to be read, analyzed and evaluated. "The mergers and acquisitions drought should ease once the Federal Reserve begins to reduce borrowing costs with some degree of predictability, Morgan Stanley (MS) Chief Executive Officer Ted Pick said minutes ago in Davos, Switzerland, to Bloomberg Surveillance" was broadcast live. And it proves that the banks, and certainly individual companies, have drawn the right mathematical and semantic conclusions in order to continue to operate profitably. And that too 2025 - with or without tariffs. Which could definitely, in any case, send the DXY and/or US yield curve 
US10Y further up, but mustn't send the WallStreet SP500 DJIA in particular Magnificent 7 
GOOG 
AMZN 
AAPL 
MSFT 
META 
NVDA 
TSLA from the 
NDX down. Even if that is an outsider opinion from my humble self.- Will we see a new annual high above 109,966 in 2025?
- Will the annual high of 108,583 points hold in 2024?
These were the two questions that need to be answered in order to learn something new. And price action answered both questions with yes: We had a new annual high of 110,176 on Monday, January 13, 2025. And/Or the annual high from the last trading day on December 31, 2025 with 108,853 points also held. So we can argue that the price action so far in 2025 (after the third calendar week) still tends to remain bullish. But with the handbrake on, Donald J. Trump will be reintroduced as the new US president on Monday.
“In addition to going against the herd, you've said one of your techniques is to set yourself outside the process. What do you mean exactly? How do you get outside?
George Soros
- Will the annual high of 2024 with 108.583 points hold?
- Will the annual high of 2023 with 107.348 points hold?
After WallStreet was closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Day, the DXY fell at the start of the week on the day of the inauguration of the old new US President Donald Trump. Which is why, in order to learn something new this week, it goes without saying that these two questions should be asked for this 4th calendar week! Or?
109.423 : 2025/01/17 - Last Week Closing
108.794 : 2025/01/21 - Tuesday Intraday High
108.425 : 2025/01/23 - Today's Intraday High
108.367 : 2025/01/22 - Wednesday Intraday High
108.227 : 2025/01/23 - last price action
108.167 : 2025/01/23 - Today's Intraday High
107.965 : 2025/01/20 - Monday Intraday Low
107.920 : 2025/01/21 - Tuesday Intraday Low
107.749 : 2025/01/22 - Wednesday Intraday High
Hardly any movement in the first 9 hours this Thursday, January 23rd, 2025 in the price action of the
DXY . Let us therefore recall the current short-term scenario. It almost seems like if you follow the media, that the media is disappointed that Donald Trump isn't delivering (yet)? The DXY just doesn't move! Because of Trump? I don't know! But I still remember what I wrote yesterday: “If we focus on this week, we have to realize that the price action in the DXY over the course of the week so far had a small bullish plus yesterday and/or today - but the crash on monday, i.e. the day before yesterday, it was too big! Many traders and/or investors with large account balances probably expected a decision from Trump regarding tariffs - and then cashed in when nothing concrete came? I can't explain the case in the price action any other way! Anyway? But what I can explain very well, what I want to explain, is that the fight for this short-term uptrend will probably not be defended by the bulls. And in the coming days we could probably find ourselves more or less around the annual high of 2024 - which was 107.348 points on the last day of 2024, i.e. on December 31, 2024.” However? More tomorrow!With best wishes
and good intentions:
Aaron
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.