DXY Weekly Forecast | 17th April 2023

Fundamental Backdrop
1. The Empire State Manufacturing Index which is a leading indicator of economic health, is expecting to improve significantly from -24.6 to -17.7, we could see the DXY rise back up toward the 102 resistance level.
2. With the Unemployment Claims expecting to have almost no change, which could see the overall economic health stabalizing.
3. Other important news events at the end of the week such as the Flash Manufacturing PMI & Flash Services PMI, are both expected to drop which could cause significant volatility in the markets.
4. However on Friday, the FOMC raised its target range for the federal funds rate to 4.75 to 5 percent, which caused the DXY to rise back up towards the 101.600 level.
5. The DXY is expected to fluctuate between the 101 and 103 level this week.

Technical Confluences
1. Near-term resistance at 102
2. Next resistance at 103

Idea
Due to the FOMC bullish news last Friday, we could see the DXY head towards the 102 resistance level. If price manages to break above 102.200, we could see price head towards the next key 103 resistance.






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