US Dollar Index

DXY. Midterm Analysis of the US Dollar Index

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Hey traders and investors!

📍 Context
On the monthly timeframe, the market was in a range. The price broke above the upper boundary and was long supported around the 101.080 level. This level was repeatedly tested by sellers and now appears to have been broken.

📊 Monthly targets: 89.20 and 88.300.

🔎 Analysis
Why might the downward movement continue?

Daily TF
snapshot
On the daily chart, we can see that on the day buyers returned to the 101.080 level, the main volume was accumulated in a buyer candle right at and slightly above the level. This suggests the level was defended by sellers. This indicates they are currently in control, and the decline may continue. Let’s look at the nearest potential buyer activity levels.

11-day TF
snapshot
The price has once again broken downward out of the range. Below, there is a small consolidation area formed during the previous upward movement. Its boundaries are: upper boundary — 97.385, lower boundary — 94.589.

🎯 Trade Idea: Rebounds from the upper boundary at 97.385 are possible, but overall the priority remains with a move into this range and towards the 95.00–94.589 zone.


This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).

Wishing you profitable trades!

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