The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of a potential bullish rebound as it approaches a critical ascending support line. Currently trading around 104.957, the index has maintained this uptrend since early 2024, suggesting strong underlying support.
Technical Analysis:
Support Line:
The green ascending trendline has been a key support for the DXY, providing a solid foundation for potential upward movements. As the index approaches this line, we could see a bounce back toward higher levels.
MACD (5, 8, 3):
The MACD indicator, despite showing a slight bearish divergence with the signal line crossing below the MACD line, is hovering near the zero line. This suggests that bearish momentum is weakening, and a bullish crossover could be imminent.
RSI (26, 14, 2):
The RSI indicator is currently at 42.43, indicating that the index is nearing oversold territory. Historically, RSI levels around 40 have marked the beginning of bullish reversals for the DXY. Additionally, the RSI is nearing a key support level, enhancing the likelihood of a bounce.
Bullish Targets:
First Target: 106.00
The first target for the DXY in a bullish scenario is 106.00. This level has previously acted as resistance, and breaking above it could signal further bullish momentum.
Second Target: 107.50
If the index manages to surpass the 106.00 level, the next target would be 107.50. This level represents a previous peak and would serve as a significant milestone for the bulls.
Major Target: 109.00
In a sustained bullish rally, the DXY could aim for 109.00. This major resistance level would mark a significant recovery and indicate strong bullish sentiment in the market.
Conclusion:
The DXY is currently positioned at a crucial juncture. The ascending support line, coupled with weakening bearish momentum on the MACD and an oversold RSI, suggests a potential bullish reversal. Traders should watch for a bounce from the current support levels, with targets set at 106.00, 107.50, and 109.00. Maintaining a close eye on these technical indicators will provide clearer insights into the future direction of the DXY.