The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has broken its long-term parabolic uptrend and lost the key 100–104 support zone, which has now flipped into fresh supply after a clean retest—confirming a macro structural shift from bullish to bearish. Repeated rejections from the decades-old descending trendline and major supply around 111–114 mark the end of the dollar’s recent dominance. With no strong support until the 89.16 level—and deeper demand zones at 84 and even 76—DXY is likely entering a prolonged downtrend. This breakdown has global implications: easing dollar strength typically boosts risk assets, commodities, and emerging markets, while accelerating dedollarization narratives. For Bitcoin, this environment is historically bullish, potentially fueling the next crypto rally as capital rotates into scarce, decentralized assets amid weakening fiat confidence. Unless the dollar reclaims 104 on a monthly close, this marks the beginning of a macro bearish cycle for the USD.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.