I've been doing some research into various things. Stock twits (ST) is a cornucopia of information. Mostly about day traders, but there are fascinating insights you can get about activity through time. One thing I have noticed and a few posters on ST have noticed: The bears come out at night.
Correlated with the futures of the past few days, I have a theory (unprovable) that a lot of professional traders have been conducting their sales throughout the post and pre market. The manipulators have stubbornly pulled up all futures losses from the futures lows at around 3-4AM at unusual post and pre market volumes.
I have a feeling these pros are testing and investigating. Lotta analysis could be done in these pre and post markets. Analysis only professional people could do properly.
I said in my main analysis (How long run? Want eat) that I expected choppy August and drop (or crash?... paraphrasing) in September. I still believe that expectation is accurate.
Just like when I turned 30k into 300k using crypto and my stubborn position based trading. I want to beat these pros with my stubborn, initial loss-filled, positional trading. I'm a macro macro trader. I make 2-3 trades per year.
hundreds/thousands of hours of research tho.......
por ejemple aqui: I dont think the pros have factored in what happens when a large portion of the US dies over flu season. Either from the "dreaded" moo moo variant or more actually the vaux... I have.