Last week's Scenario1 short and breakout trade both offers TP of 50pts each. Market is back into supply zone (circled), 3 TFs showing supply coming in. Temporary short opportunity may arise if market moves up on lower volume and narrow spread.
Scenario Planning: 1) Short if 4209-4175 is resisted 2) Long on support and acceptance at 4094-4048 level when breakout level is tested.
Volume Analysis: Weekly: High vol up bar close off high = supply coming in Daily: Higher vol down bar, possible 2BR formation = supply coming in H4: High vol down bar close at low (UT) = S>D. If up bar(s) after this is narrow spread and low volume, we may have a temporary short opportunity
Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
4175 4094-4048 3928-3788 3580 3502 3231
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