Over the weekend, Ethereum reached our price target and plunged to a new low at 879.80 USD. Similarly to Bitcoin, we are no longer bearish on Ethereum. In all honesty, we are unsure where it is headed next. Although we think the rally might continue a little bit further. Despite that, negative fundamental factors remain in place. The FED is expected to raise interest rates next month and put more pressure on the overall economy. As a result, we speculate that the bottom was not set in for ETHUSD. Therefore, we will monitor the price action closely. At the moment, we abstain from setting a price target for ETHUSD.
Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI reversed from the oversold zone, hinting at the price bounce. MACD flattens, which is bullish. Stochastic remains bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is less bearish than a week ago; indeed, we think it suggests the possibility of another “bear market rally”.
Illustration 1.01 Here is the triangle pattern we showed in our previous ideas. We stated that we expected the breakout to the downside. The breakout took place, and Ethereum fell by more than 48%. The declining volume hints at decreasing selling pressure.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI is oversold. Stochastic and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are also bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame remains bearish.
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