In my current analysis of the Ethereum/USDT daily chart, I observe several technical indicators and chart patterns that influence my trading strategy. As of the latest data, Ethereum is trading at approximately $2,351.80, reflecting a positive change of 2.44% on the day.
The chart reveals Ethereum is navigating within a downward trend channel, highlighted by the consecutive lower highs and lower lows, which suggests a prevailing bearish sentiment in the market. This is further supported by the descending red trendline, marking a significant resistance point that Ethereum has struggled to overcome.
Focusing on the support (S1) and resistance levels (R2, R3, R4), it's evident that Ethereum has recently tested and failed to breach the resistance at $3,019.87 (R2). If Ethereum attempts to recover, the next critical resistance level to watch is $4,082.68 (R4), which aligns with previous highs.
The Fibonacci retracement levels, drawn from the high in May to the recent low, indicate that the 0.618 retracement level at $3,019.87 (R2) has served as a significant barrier. A sustained move above this level could signal a potential reversal of the downtrend, whereas failure to break above could see Ethereum retesting the support at $2,080.64 (S1).
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) presents a divergent view, with the MACD line approaching the signal line for a potential bullish crossover. This suggests that upward momentum might be building, despite the prevailing downtrend.
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 39.99, which is near the oversold territory. This might indicate a possible strengthening or reversal in Ethereum's price action, as sellers could exhaust, paving the way for buyers to step in.
In conclusion, while the short-term outlook for Ethereum appears bearish within the context of the trend channel, there are emerging signs of a potential reversal. Key resistance and support levels will guide my trading decisions. Should Ethereum breach the $3,019.87 resistance convincingly, it may open up the path towards higher resistances. Conversely, a break below the $2,080.64 support could exacerbate the bearish pressure, targeting lower price levels.