✅ EURCAD TRADE PLAN
📅 **Date**: July 10, 2025
🕐 **Pair**: EUR/CAD
---
### 1️⃣ STRUCTURAL ALIGNMENT
| TF | Structure Status | Key Levels | Market Bias |
| -- | ------------------- | ------------------------------ | ----------------- |
| D1 | Bullish Trend | HH: 1.6108 / HL: 1.5910 | ✅ Bullish |
| H4 | Trend Resumption | Range Break > 1.6060 Confirmed | ✅ Bullish |
| H1 | Micro Bullish Shift | Price > 1.6040 key minor HL | ✅ Bullish (Ready) |
🧠 **Comment**: Market holding higher low structure across all TFs. Compression breakout likely underway.
---
### 2️⃣ ENTRY TRIGGER ZONE
| Parameter | Level / Zone |
| --------------- | ---------------------------------- |
| 🎯 ENTRY | **1.6025–1.6038** (retest pocket) |
| ⛔ STOP LOSS | **1.5975** (below H1 invalidation) |
| 🎯 TP1 | **1.6100** (prev swing high) |
| 🎯 TP2 | **1.6170** (measured extension) |
| 🧠 Optional TP3 | **1.6235** (macro fib proj) |
📌 **Only enter on valid wick or LTF confirmation candle inside zone.**
📉 Avoid mid-candle chases or breakout impulse entries. Let it *pull back*.
---
### 3️⃣ RISK MODEL INTEGRITY
| Metric | Value |
| ------------------- | -------------------------------- |
| SL Distance | ≈ 50-60 pips max |
| Minimum RRR | **1:2.5 to 1:3.5** |
| Break-even Protocol | Lock BE after 1H close > 1.6080 |
| Trade Invalidation | 1H Close < 1.5975 |
⚠️ Risk size calibrated to avoid breach of core portfolio risk ceiling.
---
### 4️⃣ MACRO–FUNDAMENTAL ALIGNMENT
| Macro Driver | Current Stance | Effect |
| ----------------------- | ------------------------------------------------ | ------------------- |
| 🇨🇦 CAD | Weak (Oil pressure + BOC dovish bias) | ✅ CAD Soft |
| 🇪🇺 EUR | Strong (Post-NFP euro demand + ECB hawkish tone) | ✅ EUR Strong |
| Intermarket Correlation | Oil ↓ → CAD ↓ | ✅ Pro-EURCAD |
| Macro Bias | **EUR Strength > CAD Weakness** | ✅ Bullish Alignment |
🧠 No conflict with structural plan = ✅ Macro Confirmed
---
### 5️⃣ EXECUTION PROTOCOL
* 💎 *Type*: **Limit Order** ONLY — no market chasing
* 🎯 Wait for rejection or bullish engulfing on 15M or 30M inside entry zone
* 🔒 Trail after price > 1.6080 with hourly close
* ❌ Do not trade this setup if **1.5980 is breached intraday**
---
🚫 NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE – For institutional execution only under your risk model.
📅 **Date**: July 10, 2025
🕐 **Pair**: EUR/CAD
---
### 1️⃣ STRUCTURAL ALIGNMENT
| TF | Structure Status | Key Levels | Market Bias |
| -- | ------------------- | ------------------------------ | ----------------- |
| D1 | Bullish Trend | HH: 1.6108 / HL: 1.5910 | ✅ Bullish |
| H4 | Trend Resumption | Range Break > 1.6060 Confirmed | ✅ Bullish |
| H1 | Micro Bullish Shift | Price > 1.6040 key minor HL | ✅ Bullish (Ready) |
🧠 **Comment**: Market holding higher low structure across all TFs. Compression breakout likely underway.
---
### 2️⃣ ENTRY TRIGGER ZONE
| Parameter | Level / Zone |
| --------------- | ---------------------------------- |
| 🎯 ENTRY | **1.6025–1.6038** (retest pocket) |
| ⛔ STOP LOSS | **1.5975** (below H1 invalidation) |
| 🎯 TP1 | **1.6100** (prev swing high) |
| 🎯 TP2 | **1.6170** (measured extension) |
| 🧠 Optional TP3 | **1.6235** (macro fib proj) |
📌 **Only enter on valid wick or LTF confirmation candle inside zone.**
📉 Avoid mid-candle chases or breakout impulse entries. Let it *pull back*.
---
### 3️⃣ RISK MODEL INTEGRITY
| Metric | Value |
| ------------------- | -------------------------------- |
| SL Distance | ≈ 50-60 pips max |
| Minimum RRR | **1:2.5 to 1:3.5** |
| Break-even Protocol | Lock BE after 1H close > 1.6080 |
| Trade Invalidation | 1H Close < 1.5975 |
⚠️ Risk size calibrated to avoid breach of core portfolio risk ceiling.
---
### 4️⃣ MACRO–FUNDAMENTAL ALIGNMENT
| Macro Driver | Current Stance | Effect |
| ----------------------- | ------------------------------------------------ | ------------------- |
| 🇨🇦 CAD | Weak (Oil pressure + BOC dovish bias) | ✅ CAD Soft |
| 🇪🇺 EUR | Strong (Post-NFP euro demand + ECB hawkish tone) | ✅ EUR Strong |
| Intermarket Correlation | Oil ↓ → CAD ↓ | ✅ Pro-EURCAD |
| Macro Bias | **EUR Strength > CAD Weakness** | ✅ Bullish Alignment |
🧠 No conflict with structural plan = ✅ Macro Confirmed
---
### 5️⃣ EXECUTION PROTOCOL
* 💎 *Type*: **Limit Order** ONLY — no market chasing
* 🎯 Wait for rejection or bullish engulfing on 15M or 30M inside entry zone
* 🔒 Trail after price > 1.6080 with hourly close
* ❌ Do not trade this setup if **1.5980 is breached intraday**
---
🚫 NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE – For institutional execution only under your risk model.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.