Going to close this and get a new perspective. My assumption that the market was weak was my mistake. I do think the market is overbought, but the momentum on the longer time frame invalidates any attempt to short on the smaller time frame I had my eyes on. Trend changes of the magnitude I was hoping to see aren't going to happen every day or week. If I want to play the shorter time frames, then i need to find a strong trend and enter on a pullback and retest of the trend.