Euro / British Pound
Short

EUR/GBP – Bearish Triangle Breakdown in Play (Long-Term Setup)

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This EUR/GBP weekly chart is flashing a long-term bearish triangle pattern that has finally broken down, signaling potential for a major move to the downside. This setup is packed with high-confluence signals that traders should not ignore.

🔍 Pattern Breakdown:
📐 Bearish Triangle Pattern
The pair has been forming lower highs while maintaining a relatively flat support base, forming a descending triangle, a classically bearish continuation pattern.

The pressure has been building for over 6 years, with buyers failing to make new highs while sellers stepped in aggressively at lower levels.

The triangle support has now been broken, and price is entering a retest phase, which is critical for confirming the breakdown.

🟧 Black Mind Curve Resistance
A unique visual tool here is the Black Mind Curve — a curved trendline that mirrors the psychology of long-term resistance.

This curve has consistently capped price action since the 2009 peak, reinforcing the dominance of sellers in this zone.

Every time price reached this curve, it reversed — confirming it as a dynamic resistance.

🧱 Major Horizontal Resistance Zone

The shaded blue zone around 0.92–0.93 represents a long-term resistance area, which has repeatedly rejected price for over a decade.

This zone also aligns with the Black Mind Curve, adding to the confluence.

The most recent swing high failed to break this area, and the pair rolled over again.

🔄 Retesting in Progress

After the recent breakdown of triangle support, price is currently retesting the underside of the broken support line (now acting as resistance).

This is a textbook setup: break → retest → continuation.

If this retest fails (which is likely based on history), the bearish move should resume.

🎯 Bearish Target Projection
The projected move from the triangle breakdown points to the 0.64330 area, which aligns with a major support level from early 2007 and 2008.

This level is a high-probability magnet if the pattern plays out in full — giving a long-term swing trade or position-trading opportunity.

🧠 Why This Matters (Pro Insights)
This chart is powerful because:

It’s on the weekly timeframe – high conviction and larger moves.

It shows a long-term squeeze finally breaking.

Resistance is reinforced by multiple layers (curve + horizontal zone).

Retest confirms possible continuation sell setup.

This isn’t a short-term scalp — it’s a position trade idea that could develop over months or even a couple years, with a massive risk-reward potential.

⚠️ Trade Plan Summary
Bias: Bearish

Pattern: Descending Triangle (broken)

Current Action: Retesting broken support

Entry Zone: On bearish rejection near 0.8400–0.8450

Stop Loss: Above resistance zone (around 0.9285)

Target: 0.64330

Risk/Reward: Potentially >4:1 on a swing basis

Disclaimer

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