TiiE swaps pricing 20% chance of july hike. inflation above 3% tgt, peso weakness further inducing inflationary pressure. latam CBs maintaining a hawkish bias (Brazil, Colombia, Peru), Mexico to follow. Spec positioning net short peso (emfx funding ccy).
Note: Hedge out EM weakness risk with tactical THB+NZD shorts.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.