EUR/USD Breaks the Rules: Rising Euro Defies Falling Yields

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EUR/USD is rising despite a falling 10Y yield differential, signaling a divergence from typical rate-driven behavior. This move is likely fueled by expectations of Fed rate cuts due to soft U.S. economic data, a recovering Eurozone trade surplus, and broader macro flows like de-dollarization and geopolitical tensions. Tariff risks and speculative positioning are also driving capital toward the euro, overriding yield-based fundamentals for now

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