Euro / U.S. Dollar
Long

EUR/USD Professional Technical Analysis

71
๐Ÿ“ˆ EUR/USD Professional Technical Analysis
๐Ÿ“… Chart Date: July 9, 2025
๐Ÿ’ฑ Pair: EUR/USD
๐Ÿ•“ Timeframe: Likely H1 or H4
๐Ÿ’ต Current Price: 1.17077
๐Ÿ“ Forecast Bias: Bullish Reversal Setup (Post Liquidity Sweep)

๐Ÿ” 1. Market Structure Overview
Trend Context:
After a strong impulsive rally (June 24โ€“26), price entered a distribution range followed by a slow grind downward โ€” typical of a liquidity engineering phase before a major reversal.

Current Price Action:
The market is printing lower highs & lows, but with reduced momentum, suggesting potential bear trap formation.

๐Ÿ”ฒ 2. Liquidity Mapping & Price Behavior
Zone Type Price Area Significance
Support Liquidity 1.1620โ€“1.1650 Previous demand; stop cluster zone
Reversal Trigger 1.1600โ€“1.1620 Potential spring (liquidity sweep)
Upside Target Zone 1.1800โ€“1.1850 Refill imbalance / old supply area

Price is approaching key liquidity pool near 1.1650, with the projected dashed path showing a possible stop run beneath that zone before a sharp V-reversal.

๐Ÿง  3. Smart Money Logic
This is a classic Wyckoff spring setup:

Phase Aโ€“B: Distribution โ†’ Breakdown

Phase C: Shakeout / Spring (about to occur)

Phase Dโ€“E: Rapid recovery โ†’ Break of structure โ†’ Markup

Institutions may run stops below 1.1650, fill large buy orders, and reverse toward unmitigated supply at 1.1800+.

๐Ÿงญ 4. Trade Setup Strategy
๐ŸŸข Bullish Play: Liquidity Sweep Reversal
Type: Reversal from engineered liquidity zone
Entry Idea: Wait for flush below 1.1650, then watch for bullish engulfing / BOS on lower timeframe

Ideal Entry Zone: 1.1610โ€“1.1640

Stop Loss: Below 1.1590 (under liquidity base)

Take Profit 1: 1.1750 (mid-range)

Take Profit 2: 1.1800โ€“1.1850 (full mean reversion)

๐Ÿ“Œ Professional Notes
โœ… Volume should increase on the stop hunt

โœ… Reversal must be confirmed by market structure shift

โŒ Invalidation if price consolidates below 1.1600 without reversal signs

โš ๏ธ Watch for US macro data โ€” may serve as the fundamental trigger

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