📉 **EUR/USD Weekly Outlook Update**
🔹 **Downtrend Intact**: The **EUR/USD** downtrend has been well-defined since **2009**, and a recent **strong rejection** after a period of distribution confirms bearish momentum.
🔹 **Technical Target 🎯**:
- **Short-term Outlook**: EUR/USD is set to hit **0.95** by **summer 2025**.
- **Year-End Projection**: Expected to end **2025 at 0.9000**.
- **Upside Cap**: Limited to **1.13** at most in 2025.
🔹 **Key Reasons for Further Decline** 📉:
- **Strong USD (DXY Strength) 💪**
- **Firm U.S. Political Leadership 🇺🇸** vs. **Weak EU Leadership 🇪🇺**
- **Fragile Eurozone Economy 🏦**
## 📊 **Why the Eurozone is Set for Further Decline**
🔻 **Slow Economic Growth ⏳**
- The **Eurozone's economy** is growing at a sluggish pace compared to other regions.
- **Weak domestic demand**, **low productivity growth**, and **high export dependency** on slower-growing markets (e.g., China 🇨🇳) weigh on investor confidence and euro demand.
🔻 **Demographic Challenges 👴📉**
- Aging populations in **Germany, Italy, and Spain** reduce the labor force.
- Higher pressure on **social services & pension systems** slows long-term growth potential.
🔻 **High Energy Prices & Inflation 🔥📊**
- The **energy crisis** (exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine war 🇷🇺🇺🇦) raises business costs.
- **Inflation remains high**, limiting the **ECB’s ability** to stimulate growth without worsening price pressures.
🔻 **Geopolitical Tensions & Economic Risks ⚠️🌍**
- The **Ukraine war & energy disruptions** hit Europe harder than other regions.
- **Reliance on Russian energy** led to severe **supply shocks**, further weakening the eurozone economy.
🔻 **Eurozone Structural Issues 🏗️❌**
- Economic **imbalances between member states** (Germany & France strong, Italy & Greece weak).
- **Common monetary policy** limits individual governments’ ability to react to crises.
- **High debt burdens** in weaker economies drag down overall performance.
🔻 **Tight Fiscal Policies 💰🚫**
- **EU fiscal rules** restrict deficit spending, limiting government stimulus efforts.
- **Lack of fiscal unity** prevents stronger coordinated responses to economic downturns.
📌 **Bottom Line for EUR/USD Traders**
✅ The **downtrend remains dominant** 📉.
✅ **Technical & fundamental** factors favor a **weaker euro**.
✅ Expect further declines **toward 0.95 by summer & 0.90 by year-end**.
✅ Limited upside beyond **1.05** in 2025.
🚀 **Stay updated & trade wisely!** 💹
🔹 **Downtrend Intact**: The **EUR/USD** downtrend has been well-defined since **2009**, and a recent **strong rejection** after a period of distribution confirms bearish momentum.
🔹 **Technical Target 🎯**:
- **Short-term Outlook**: EUR/USD is set to hit **0.95** by **summer 2025**.
- **Year-End Projection**: Expected to end **2025 at 0.9000**.
- **Upside Cap**: Limited to **1.13** at most in 2025.
🔹 **Key Reasons for Further Decline** 📉:
- **Strong USD (DXY Strength) 💪**
- **Firm U.S. Political Leadership 🇺🇸** vs. **Weak EU Leadership 🇪🇺**
- **Fragile Eurozone Economy 🏦**
## 📊 **Why the Eurozone is Set for Further Decline**
🔻 **Slow Economic Growth ⏳**
- The **Eurozone's economy** is growing at a sluggish pace compared to other regions.
- **Weak domestic demand**, **low productivity growth**, and **high export dependency** on slower-growing markets (e.g., China 🇨🇳) weigh on investor confidence and euro demand.
🔻 **Demographic Challenges 👴📉**
- Aging populations in **Germany, Italy, and Spain** reduce the labor force.
- Higher pressure on **social services & pension systems** slows long-term growth potential.
🔻 **High Energy Prices & Inflation 🔥📊**
- The **energy crisis** (exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine war 🇷🇺🇺🇦) raises business costs.
- **Inflation remains high**, limiting the **ECB’s ability** to stimulate growth without worsening price pressures.
🔻 **Geopolitical Tensions & Economic Risks ⚠️🌍**
- The **Ukraine war & energy disruptions** hit Europe harder than other regions.
- **Reliance on Russian energy** led to severe **supply shocks**, further weakening the eurozone economy.
🔻 **Eurozone Structural Issues 🏗️❌**
- Economic **imbalances between member states** (Germany & France strong, Italy & Greece weak).
- **Common monetary policy** limits individual governments’ ability to react to crises.
- **High debt burdens** in weaker economies drag down overall performance.
🔻 **Tight Fiscal Policies 💰🚫**
- **EU fiscal rules** restrict deficit spending, limiting government stimulus efforts.
- **Lack of fiscal unity** prevents stronger coordinated responses to economic downturns.
📌 **Bottom Line for EUR/USD Traders**
✅ The **downtrend remains dominant** 📉.
✅ **Technical & fundamental** factors favor a **weaker euro**.
✅ Expect further declines **toward 0.95 by summer & 0.90 by year-end**.
✅ Limited upside beyond **1.05** in 2025.
🚀 **Stay updated & trade wisely!** 💹
Note
GOLD H1 Update: Bullish Outlook BUY DIPS by ProjectSyndicate
Note
eurusd h4 pullback in progress buy dips target 1150
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taplink.cc/black001
💎Syndicate Black
⚡️Gold/Forex auto-trading bot
📕MyFXBOOK verified 500%+ gains
💎GOLD EA target 100%+ gains/week
🚀supercharge your trading
💎75% win rate free gold signals
t.me/syndicategold001
💎Syndicate Black
⚡️Gold/Forex auto-trading bot
📕MyFXBOOK verified 500%+ gains
💎GOLD EA target 100%+ gains/week
🚀supercharge your trading
💎75% win rate free gold signals
t.me/syndicategold001
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.