After last weeks FED rate decision I think EURUSD downside looks like a good potential. We saw a continued cautious approach from the FED with hawkish undertones amid trade wars and sticky inflation.
This now presents some clear divergences between central bank policies. The ECB are leading the way with looser monetary policy and continues rate cuts as their inflation rates declines to 2.2%.
Technically, price has broken through a small recent higher low as well as through a head and shoulder price pattern off the round number 1.1500. There was a strong OBV divergence signal around the highs and the weekly POC's have started to break lower.
The weekly profile also presents a possible downside target with a thin week yet to be filled. Two possible positions that could be taken, a slightly more conservative target and stop loss or a more aggressive position with a tighter stop and target towards the lows.
Will need to keep up to date on current macro data's from both the US and EU to ensure the bias doesn't shift, as well as the current tariff wars coming out from the US, important not to get too set on a trade idea and remaining fluid in the ever changing market conditions.
This now presents some clear divergences between central bank policies. The ECB are leading the way with looser monetary policy and continues rate cuts as their inflation rates declines to 2.2%.
Technically, price has broken through a small recent higher low as well as through a head and shoulder price pattern off the round number 1.1500. There was a strong OBV divergence signal around the highs and the weekly POC's have started to break lower.
The weekly profile also presents a possible downside target with a thin week yet to be filled. Two possible positions that could be taken, a slightly more conservative target and stop loss or a more aggressive position with a tighter stop and target towards the lows.
Will need to keep up to date on current macro data's from both the US and EU to ensure the bias doesn't shift, as well as the current tariff wars coming out from the US, important not to get too set on a trade idea and remaining fluid in the ever changing market conditions.
Note
Trade closed at BE after lower CPI and PPI readings from the US
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.