The Day Ahead: Market Focus & Key Events

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Key Market Events – Friday, March 28
U.S. Data:

February PCE (Core & Headline): Key Fed inflation gauge—high impact on rate expectations.

Personal Income & Spending: Consumer strength insights.

March Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Regional business sentiment.

Europe:

UK February Retail Sales: Consumer demand check.

Germany March Unemployment, April GfK Consumer Confidence: Labor market & sentiment indicators.

France March CPI, PPI: Inflation signals.

Italy March Consumer, Manufacturing, & Economic Sentiment + Industrial Sales & PPI: Growth outlook.

Eurozone March Economic Confidence: Broad sentiment gauge.

Canada:

January GDP: Growth momentum ahead of BoC policy decisions.

Central Banks:

Fed’s Barr & Bostic Speeches: Potential rate clues.

ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: Inflation & policy sentiment.

Trading Focus:

PCE data → USD, Treasuries, equities move on inflation implications.

Retail sales, GDP → FX volatility (GBP, CAD).

Confidence & inflation prints → EUR crosses & bond yields.

Fed/ECB speakers → Interest rate expectations shift.

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