Euro / U.S. Dollar
Long

WILL EUR CONTINUE TO RALLY AHEAD OF THE IMPORTANT NFP DATA?

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EUR/USD – WILL EUR CONTINUE TO RALLY AHEAD OF THE IMPORTANT NFP DATA?

📈 EUR/USD IS AT A CRITICAL POINT AHEAD OF KEY ECONOMIC DATA
Amid the ongoing pressure on the US Dollar and macroeconomic factors supporting the Euro, EUR/USD might continue its short-term bullish trend. However, key data such as US CPI and central bank meetings could determine the direction for this currency pair moving forward.

🌍 Macroeconomic Overview & Market Sentiment
USD & DXY: The US Dollar continues to weaken due to signals from the Federal Reserve (Fed) that they are not in a hurry to cut interest rates. DXY has fallen below the 99 level, with macroeconomic factors showing a continued bearish trend for the USD.

Eurozone: The ECB (European Central Bank) is maintaining a slightly tight monetary policy. However, the Eurozone economy is showing signs of recovery, with positive data from the region.

US Economy: Forecasts for the US labor market data could impact the USD and lead to volatility in the EUR/USD pair. All attention is on the reports from the US this week.

📊 Technical Analysis (H1 – H4 – D1)
EMA 13/34/89/200: The EMA indicators on the H1 and H4 timeframes support the current bullish trend for EUR/USD in the short term. In particular, the EMA 13 and EMA 34 are crossing above the EMA 200, signaling a strong upward trend.

Wave Structure: EUR/USD is currently in a corrective wave after testing the strong resistance level at 1.1450. A recovery signal is emerging around the support level at 1.1380, which could present a buying opportunity in the short term.

Fibonacci Expansion: The Fibonacci extension levels at 1.1470 and 1.1490 could be the next targets if EUR/USD breaks through the 1.1400 resistance zone.

⚡ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1470, 1.1490, 1.1500

Support: 1.1380, 1.1350, 1.1320, 1.1300

🧭 Trading Scenario
🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1380 – 1.1365
SL: 1.1340
TP: 1.1420 → 1.1450 → 1.1470 → 1.1490

🔻 SELL ZONE: 1.1450 – 1.1460
SL: 1.1475
TP: 1.1420 → 1.1400 → 1.1370 → 1.1350

✅ Summary
EUR/USD is currently in a short-term bullish trend and could continue to rise if the support at 1.1365 holds. However, key economic data from the US, especially CPI and central bank meetings from the Fed and ECB, could impact the next direction for this pair. Traders should keep an eye on important support and resistance levels to identify safe trading opportunities.

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