Euro / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed above the resistance line

389
📊 Technical Analysis
● Price has broken the H1 descending-channel roof and twice “fixed” above it at ≈1.137, turning the former ceiling into short-term support.
● The rebound forms an ascending triangle under 1.142; its measured swing targets 1.156 – 1.160, where the violet long-term resistance line and mid-channel parallel converge.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Markets expect the ECB to cut only 25 bp on 6 Jun and signal patience, while soft US JOLTS openings and slipping ISM-prices lifted September Fed-cut odds past 60 %, narrowing the 2-yr yield gap and underpinning EUR.

Summary
Buy 1.135-1.137; triangle break >1.142 seeks 1.156 → 1.160. Long view void on an H1 close below 1.126.

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snapshot
📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR retook the May swing-mid (1.139) and is now printing a series of higher lows along an inside trend-line, squeezing price against the 1.142 lid and showing rising OBV—signalling steady accumulation.
● 4 h MACD crossed up while candles hold above the reclaimed 1.135-1.137 demand strip; the triangle’s 1.618 extension and channel median intersect at 1.156-1.160, offering the next magnet.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bloomberg notes EZ wage-growth cooled only marginally in Q1, tempering bets on an aggressive ECB cycle, while a softer US ADP (152 k vs 175 k est.) pulled 2-yr yields under 4.70 %, compressing the rate spread in the euro’s favour.

Summary
Buy dips 1.135-1.137; breakout >1.142 targets 1.156 → 1.160. Long bias void on a 4 h close below 1.126.

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