The Day Ahead

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Macro Data Highlights
United States
June CPI – Crucial inflation gauge; likely to shape Fed rate expectations.

Empire Manufacturing Index (July) – Regional economic activity snapshot.

China
Q2 GDP – Key read on the health of the world’s second-largest economy.

June Retail Sales / Industrial Production / Home Prices – Important for tracking domestic demand and real estate trends.

Europe
Germany & Eurozone ZEW Surveys (July) – Investor sentiment indicators, especially relevant amid sluggish European growth.

Eurozone May Industrial Production – Tracks output momentum in manufacturing-heavy economies.

Italy May Government Debt – Sovereign debt level insights amid fiscal scrutiny.

Canada
June CPI – Important for BoC policy outlook.

Existing Home Sales / May Manufacturing Sales – Indicators of economic activity and housing market resilience.

Central Bank Speakers
Fed: Bowman, Barr, Collins, Barkin – Watch for comments on inflation and rate cut timing.

BoE: Governor Bailey – May impact GBP and UK rate expectations.

Earnings (Focus: Financials)
JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Bank of New York Mellon, BlackRock

Q2 results will offer insights into:

Net interest income trends

Credit quality & loan growth

Capital market activity (BlackRock focus on AUM and inflows)

Trading Takeaway
U.S. CPI and bank earnings are the top market movers – inflation print could shift rate cut expectations for September.

China data may influence commodity and EM sentiment.

Fed/BoE speakers may provide policy clarity amid disinflationary trends.

Financials earnings will be key to market tone, especially for value stocks and financial sector ETFs.

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