EUR/USD 1.1500 Indecision

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EUR/USD is working on its first red weekly candle after four consecutive weekly gains, and that had extended a strong showing in early-March as bulls started to take over. Interestingly this happens with the backdrop of a dovish ECB and this leads to CPI data for next week.

There's increasingly attractiveness behind swings, as taken from that indecision on the weekly following the failed test at 1.1500, and supported by an overbought RSI reading on the weekly chart. Supports at 1.1275 and 1.1200 could keep the door open for bulls to take another shot at the big figure of 1.1500, but if prices can slip down towards 1.1100 or perhaps even 1.1000, there could be a widening window for reversal potential.

It's important to remember that RSI is not a great timing indicator, and some of the more compelling setups from RSI happen from divergence, when a higher-high prints on price but a lower-high prints on the indicator - similar to what showed last year ahead of the Q4 reversal in the pair. - js

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