There is no denying that Europe’s shared currency (EUR) is having a strong year against the US dollar (USD) so far, with the EUR/USD pair rising by almost 10%.
Monthly support in play
In one fell swoop, April’s price action made short work of the 50-month simple moving average (SMA) at US$1.0904 and the monthly resistance at US$1.1134. This prompted the unit to challenge monthly resistance at US$1.1457 and subsequently retest US$1.1134 as support.
Arguably, if bulls maintain their position north of the mentioned support and eventually absorb the offers at the current resistance, this could reveal a strong bullish scenario for the pair, targeting resistance between US$1.2028 and US$1.1930.
Daily AB=CD resistance unlikely to draw much selling
Meanwhile, on the daily timeframe, buyers and sellers are squaring off around an ‘alternate’ AB=CD resistance level from US$1.1386 (a 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio) – a level complemented by a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio from US$1.1383.
Based on monthly flow rebounding from support at US$1.1134, I do not expect the EUR/USD to venture much beyond US$1.1283 on the daily chart: the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio derived from legs A-D (US$1.1065-US$1.1419).
Short-term dip below US$1.13?
Short-term price action on the H1 chart shows the pair rebounded from the US$1.13 handle in recent trading, though overhead resistance between US$1.1358 and US$1.1340 is calling for attention. Additional support to be aware of below US$1.13 resides in the form of a trendline support, extended from the low of US$1.1091, together with support from US$1.1266.
Ultimately, I expect H1 price to respect current resistance and drive through US$1.13 bids towards H1 trendline support mentioned above. Knowing said H1 support aligns with the daily timeframe’s 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio, tapping into liquidity south of US$1.13 will likely help drive bigger players to buy.
Monthly support in play
In one fell swoop, April’s price action made short work of the 50-month simple moving average (SMA) at US$1.0904 and the monthly resistance at US$1.1134. This prompted the unit to challenge monthly resistance at US$1.1457 and subsequently retest US$1.1134 as support.
Arguably, if bulls maintain their position north of the mentioned support and eventually absorb the offers at the current resistance, this could reveal a strong bullish scenario for the pair, targeting resistance between US$1.2028 and US$1.1930.
Daily AB=CD resistance unlikely to draw much selling
Meanwhile, on the daily timeframe, buyers and sellers are squaring off around an ‘alternate’ AB=CD resistance level from US$1.1386 (a 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio) – a level complemented by a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio from US$1.1383.
Based on monthly flow rebounding from support at US$1.1134, I do not expect the EUR/USD to venture much beyond US$1.1283 on the daily chart: the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio derived from legs A-D (US$1.1065-US$1.1419).
Short-term dip below US$1.13?
Short-term price action on the H1 chart shows the pair rebounded from the US$1.13 handle in recent trading, though overhead resistance between US$1.1358 and US$1.1340 is calling for attention. Additional support to be aware of below US$1.13 resides in the form of a trendline support, extended from the low of US$1.1091, together with support from US$1.1266.
Ultimately, I expect H1 price to respect current resistance and drive through US$1.13 bids towards H1 trendline support mentioned above. Knowing said H1 support aligns with the daily timeframe’s 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio, tapping into liquidity south of US$1.13 will likely help drive bigger players to buy.
Note
Price has broken south of US$1.13, following a reaction from the noted H1 resistance area - AH
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.