Since August, the market has not priced in a full rally into the November-December session.
At the end of August, the probability of an increase in November was 70% (currently down to 10%). of
The probability of a rate hike in December has fluctuated between 30% and 55% since the end of August.
Yes, WIRP has shifted further outside the curve (allowing for fewer cuts). But the reality is:
There's another reason the 30-year Treasury yield rose to 5% in October from 3.8% in July.
FRB.
At the end of August, the probability of an increase in November was 70% (currently down to 10%). of
The probability of a rate hike in December has fluctuated between 30% and 55% since the end of August.
Yes, WIRP has shifted further outside the curve (allowing for fewer cuts). But the reality is:
There's another reason the 30-year Treasury yield rose to 5% in October from 3.8% in July.
FRB.
Note
The first port was broken but the second port completed its mission. The trend is going right according to analysis
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Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.