EURUSD: Decision Time

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EURUSD is currently trading at 1.09250, showing notable strength in recent sessions. The pair has been climbing higher, largely due to a weaker US dollar influenced by macroeconomic factors, such as recent tariff news impacting certain goods. This has put bearish pressure on the dollar, supporting the euro’s rise. However, the pair is now approaching a key resistance level around 1.0940, a level where price has historically faced rejection, suggesting potential selling interest that could pause or reverse the upward move.

Key Levels to Watch:

Resistance: 1.0940
Support: 1.0872
The short-term trend appears bullish, as the price remains above the 50-period moving average, a common indicator of momentum. Yet, with the RSI nearing overbought territory, the uptrend might be losing steam, hinting at a possible pullback or period of consolidation. Market volatility is currently low at 0.51%, which reflects a calm environment, often a sign that a breakout (up or down) could be brewing. Traders should keep an eye on the 1.0940 resistance for clues: a strong break above could signal more gains, while a rejection might send the price back toward support at 1.0872.

Trading Ideas:

Bullish Scenario: If EURUSD breaks above 1.0940 with solid volume and momentum, it could target higher levels like 1.1000. Consider entering a buy position on a confirmed breakout, with a stop-loss below the breakout point (e.g., 1.0910) to manage risk.
Pullback Opportunity: A rejection at 1.0940 could see the price drop to 1.0872 or lower. This might offer a chance to buy at support, with a stop-loss below 1.0872 to protect against a deeper decline.
Bearish Scenario: If sellers take control and push the price below 1.0872, it could signal a short-term trend shift. Shorts might target lower levels, with a stop-loss above 1.0872 to limit exposure.
Risk management is critical here, always use stop-loss orders tailored to your strategy. For longs, place stops below recent swing lows (like 1.0872 or lower), and for shorts, above recent swing highs (like 1.0940). The market can shift quickly, so stay adaptable and monitor price action closely for confirmation of your chosen setup.

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