Euro / U.S. Dollar
Long

Euro Poised for Upside: Will $1.18 Be the Next Key Level?

37
Targets:
- T1 = $1.17075
- T2 = $1.18075

Stop Levels:
- S1 = $1.14075
- S2 = $1.13075


**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Euro.

**Key Insights:**
The Euro is currently positioned for potential upside, supported by the European Central Bank's (ECB) cautious approach to monetary policy. ECB President Christine Lagarde’s statements regarding inflation targeting have reinforced confidence in the currency, creating a stable outlook amidst broader global uncertainty. Additionally, improvements in European economic data—particularly stronger-than-expected manufacturing PMI figures—have increased bullish sentiment among professional traders. Forex traders are closely watching upcoming inflation reports and employment statistics for additional confirmation of a continued uptrend.

Technical indicators, such as rising Relative Strength Index (RSI) levels and bullish moving average crossovers, suggest further upside momentum. Breakouts above psychological levels, such as $1.17000, could drive stronger buying activity and potentially pave the way for the Euro to test higher resistance levels.

**Recent Performance:**
The Euro has demonstrated resilience in recent weeks, hovering around the $1.15075 mark. Despite fluctuations due to mixed signals from equity and bond markets, the Euro has benefited from safe-haven inflows as geopolitical tensions brew in other parts of the world. Additionally, its stability has kept it among the top-performing currencies within the G10 forex universe.

**Expert Analysis:**
Forex market analysts are broadly in agreement about the potential near-term strength of the Euro. The ECB’s patient approach to monetary tightening is seen as providing a consistent support mechanism for the currency. Furthermore, the Euro has gained traction against traditionally weaker currencies such as the Japanese Yen and the British Pound, presenting further arbitrage opportunities for traders.

Technicians point to the importance of $1.17000 as a crucial level to test before further gains can be realized. A confirmed breakout could lead to extended upside, potentially reaching $1.18 or more. However, downside risks remain, especially if the Dollar strengthens unexpectedly due to hawkish Federal Reserve policy or significant geopolitical escalations.

**News Impact:**
Recent news surrounding improved trade agreements between the UK and Europe has reduced uncertainty and supported the Euro as bullish sentiment grows. However, traders should remain cautious of geopolitical risks, including recent tensions in the Middle East, which could create safe-haven flows into other currencies like the Swiss Franc or US Dollar. Regulatory challenges facing US technology firms in Europe are also shaping broader equity movements that could indirectly influence the Euro's performance.

**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on bullish sentiment from professional traders, improved technical metrics, and the ECB’s supportive policies, we recommend a LONG position on Euro. The current price action suggests the probability of an upside breakout, with targets of $1.17 and $1.18 offering potential rewards. Ensure stops are placed thoughtfully within the levels outlined to mitigate risks from broader market volatility. This trade provides a promising opportunity to capitalize on the Euro’s relative strength.

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