Hello everyone,

Sorry, EUR/USD has made a stronger movement down as expected (510 pips more). But this isn’t changing everything. I am expecting a movement up to the region above 1.20.

There are 3 scenarios, to keep in mind of…

Scenario 1 (green line // 60% chance)

EUR/USD is changing direction in an uptrend to 1.20+.

Scenario 2 (blue line // 25% chance)

EUR/USD is preparing the uptrend through a small detour down to 1.1250/1.1200, then up to 1.20+.

Scenario 3 (red line // 15% chance)

EUR/USD is falling down to parity. This I do not expect, because I do not believe, that the dollar is rising up to the moon.

Please leave a comment or a message if you like!

Take care,
tgo
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