Euro / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

DeGRAM | EURUSD retest of the support

335
📊 Technical Analysis
● Price rebounded off the flag base (1.128) and reclaimed the inner grey trend-median, keeping the sequence of higher-lows inside the two-year rising channel.
● The flag’s upper rail at 1.145 has been tested twice; a close above completes the pattern and projects to the channel roof / horizontal confluence at 1.1600, while dynamic support rises with the violet breakout line at 1.1214.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Euro stays bid after May EZ headline CPI re-accelerated to 2.6 % y/y, tempering expectations for aggressive ECB cuts, whereas weaker US ADP hiring and cooling core-PCE pressured real yields and the dollar.

Summary
Long bias above 1.128; flag break > 1.145 targets 1.1600, stretch 1.1950. Invalidate on daily close < 1.1080.

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snapshot
📊 Technical Analysis
● Former 1.1300 supply (top of the 18-month accumulation rectangle) has now acted twice as support, confirming a classic “break-retest-hold” and tilting risk upward inside the long-term rising channel.
● Price is compressing in a higher-low pennant between the channel’s violet resistance line and the grey median; its measured swing aligns with the next fib / upper parallel near 1.1600.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● EZ May services-PMI was revised up to 53.9 while Fed’s Beige Book flagged cooling US demand, narrowing yield-spread headwinds and inviting fresh euro bids.

Summary
Buy pull-backs 1.130-1.133; pennant break >1.145 opens 1.160 → 1.195. Long view void on a daily close <1.108.

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Trade closed: target reached
Closed +141 PIPS

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