The Day Ahead

48
Tuesday, May 6 – Financial Trading Summary & Relevance

Key Data Releases:
US March Trade Balance – Important for assessing the strength of US exports vs. imports. A larger deficit may weigh on USD; narrower gap may support it.
China April Caixin Services PMI – Insight into China's private service sector. Stronger data could lift global risk sentiment and commodity-linked currencies (e.g., AUD).

UK April Data:
Official Reserves Changes – Minimal short-term trading impact.
New Car Registrations – Reflects consumer sentiment and demand; relevant for UK auto stocks and GBP sensitivity.

France March Industrial Production – A leading gauge for Eurozone growth; stronger output may support EUR.

Italy April Services PMI – Adds to Eurozone PMI sentiment; market-moving for EUR if deviating significantly.

Eurozone March PPI – Inflation gauge; higher-than-expected may raise ECB hawkishness bets, boosting EUR and yields.

Canada March Trade Balance – Important for CAD traders; strong trade could support CAD.

Major Earnings Releases (market movers):
Tech & Growth Focus:
Palantir (PLTR) – Government & AI analytics focus; market keen on forward guidance and AI revenues.
AMD (AMD) – Key semiconductor player; crucial for tech sentiment, especially in AI chip space.
Arista Networks (ANET) – Cloud and networking performance gives insights into broader tech infra spending.
Datadog, Astera Labs – Watch for cloud and AI-related growth signals.

Consumer & Travel:
Marriott (MAR) – Key for travel demand trends.
Zoetis – Animal health; solid defensive sector performer.
Coupang – Insight into Asian e-commerce and consumer health.

Autos & Industrials:
Ferrari, Rivian – Luxury vs. EV sentiment; Rivian earnings especially key for EV sector momentum.
Vestas – Wind energy indicator; watch for green transition spending trends.

Financial & Healthcare:
Intesa Sanpaolo – Italy’s largest bank; insight into Eurozone financials.
IQVIA, Fidelity – Relevant for healthcare services and asset management outlook.

Bond Market:
US 10-Year Note Auction – Closely watched for investor demand amid shifting Fed rate expectations. Weak auction = higher yields = USD strength.

Trading Relevance Summary:
FX: EUR, GBP, CAD and USD sensitive to economic prints (trade, PMIs, inflation).
Equities: Focus on tech (AMD, Palantir, Datadog), EVs (Rivian), and industrials (Ferrari, Vestas).
Bonds: 10-yr auction could set tone for yields.
Commodities: China services PMI may influence oil and metals via demand expectations.


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