Expedia May Be Traveling South

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Expedia started rallying last summer, but now some traders may think the travel stock is turning lower.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the drop between late February and early April. EXPE retraced about half that decline by early May before stalling. It also hit potential resistance at the March 28 weekly closing price of $168.10. Those points may confirm a new downtrend has begun.

Second, the recent bounce could be interpreted as a bearish flag.

Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA early last week. That could also be consistent with a new downtrend.

Short-term signals are potentially negative as well. MACD just turned lower and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is nearing a potential cross below the 21-day EMA.

Finally, you have the behavior around earnings. Quarterly results propelled EXPE higher in August, November and February. The last set of numbers on May 8 triggered selling. Are fundamentals weakening?

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